Yankees vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - March 26, 2026

#EV

Profit boost

#EV

MLB POD

@Zerillo 40 https://myaction.app/k3dVCdtIN1b

162-0 -> Soon

@cowhitchurch 60 https://myaction.app/k3dVCdtIN1b

Bet to -130

Boost used

Did you think I was going to open the season with a K prop I’m showing a 63% chance to hit? Nope. Let’s have some fun with a wild longshot. I’m in line with both SP props for Opening Day, so I did some digging on hitter props, and my jaw dropped when I saw Bellinger at +4700 to hit a triple. Obviously, the odds are still slim that he actually gets one here, but this is offering way too much value according to my model. Bellinger had 5 triples last season, which ranked 11th in MLB, but Yankee Stadium is the 2nd toughest park for triples because of its dimensions. So he gets a massive boost playing at Oracle Park, a place that literally has a section called Triples Alley in right-center, and the park itself ranks top 5 in triple park factors. It’s obviously a tougher matchup against Logan Webb, who generates a high ground-ball rate with his sinker and keeps hitters off balance with a 5-pitch mix, but Bellinger is a pretty ideal counter. He’s also the toughest Yankee hitter to strike out, and I’m only giving him around a 15-17% chance to K in each of his 3-4 plate appearances against Webb in the opener. Another sneaky factor is that we should see Jung Hoo Lee make his first start in RF, with the Giants using Harrison Bader in CF this year. Lee already doesn’t have great range in the outfield, and while he knows Oracle Park’s weird center/right-field quirks, it still could take some time adjusting to those angles from RF instead of CF. That might be enough to help Bellinger turn a potential double into a triple. Is this a crazy Opening Day bet? Yes. Do I still love it at +4700 because I project it closer to +2800? Also yes. It’s a long season. I’m not trying to be perfect. I’m trying to chip away at +EV bets, have some fun, and this one checks both boxes.

Px