Phillies vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2025

Phillies at Rays

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

22-15

7 - 6

Tampa Bay Rays

16-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Pepiot			3.86	2-4
J.Luzardo			2.11	3-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 22-15	-1.5	-1.5+106	o8.5-123	-160
Rays 16-21	u8.5	+1.5-126	u8.5-109	+135

Thursday 11:05 p.m.

May 08, 2025

George M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa

PHI -144

0.69u

🔔 PHI Phillies ML 🔔 -144 @ ProphetX - 1U 💵 🎯 Luzardo sub-2.00 ERA 🎯 TBR ranks 26th in OPS vs LHP (L30) 🎯 Pepiot owns a 4.66 xERA and isn't getting whiffs Let's get back on track 🫡

PHI -148

0.68u

Not sure why this line is so low but I’m taking it. Luzardo has a road ERA of 1.59 and TB has been one of the worst teams against LHP hitting .182 as a team this year. Pepiot has a 4.82 home ERA this year. He has given up 8 HRs so far this year and they have all been at home so good opportunities for the Phils bats here

PHI -135

0.74u

Phillies have won 8 straight vs Rays – latest 8-4, 7-0 blowouts. Rolling: 8-2 last 10, 11-1 in interleague. Rays collapsing at home – just 1-10 last 11. Also 2-7 vs NL East. Philly owns matchup, full momentum edge. Luzardo starts – 3-0, 1.94 ERA, 9 ER in 41.2 IP. Last 3: 1.47 ERA. Phillies 5-2 in his games. Rays hitting .180 vs LHP, just 1.92 runs/9. Pepiot shaky – 2-4, 4.23 ERA, 18 ER in 38.1 IP. Rays 3-4 when he starts. Philly lineup hot – .281 last 10, 5.00 runs/9 vs RHP. Rays weak – .204 last 10, 3.81 runs/9 overall. Phillies’ bullpen 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP last 3. Rays' pen slipping – 1.57 WHIP. All signs point to Philly.

PHI -145

Over 8.5+100

TB +128

0.78u

N.Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases+115

1.3u

J.Caminero o0.5 HR+525

2.63u

B.Harper o0.5 HR+400

0.5u

J.Luzardo o6.5 Ks+138

Has a sweeper this year that's generating a lot of whiffs. Has led to an uptick in both strikeouts and swinging strikes, putting him back at the levels he produced in 2023. Think it's reasonable to expect those gains to stick, and he's in a plus matchup for Ks tonight.

K.Schwarber o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

1.15u

TB +120

C.Mead u0.5 Hits+130

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

Thursday. Bet to 9 (-105)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 7-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Rays' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	16-21	9-16	7-5	7-12	9-8
Phillies	19-18	10-9	9-9	14-15	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	15-20-2	11-12-2	4-8	8-9-2	7-10
Phillies	18-19	11-8	7-11	15-14	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	16-21	9-16	7-5	9-10	7-10
Phillies	22-15	13-6	9-9	18-11	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	PHI	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI +140
May 6th	PHI	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +110
May 4th	@NYY	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 9	TB +142
May 3rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 10	TB +182
May 2nd	@NYY	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYY +195

Josh Lowe
RF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Jake Mangum
RF
Mangum is out with groin
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	105	5.1	4	2
RC.Hernandez, P	8	0.2	2	0
LT.Banks, P	27	1	1	3
RJ.Romano, P	14	1	1	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	11	1	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	0	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	1
4K.Schwarber, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Rojas, PR	0-1	1	0	0
4J.Rojas, CF	0-1	1	0	0
5N.Castellanos, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5W.Wilson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5W.Wilson, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6M.Kepler, RF	0-3	0	0	1
7J.Realmuto, C	1-3	0	0	0
8A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
8E.Sosa, PR	0-0	1	0	0
8E.Sosa, 3B	0-0	1	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	2-4	2	0	1
9B.Marsh, LF	2-4	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	95	6	3	1
LG.Cleavinger, P	10	1	0	0
RE.Uceta, P	18	0.2	0	3
LM.Montgomery, P	2	0.1	0	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	28	1	1	0
RM.Rodriguez, P	12	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	1-5	1	1	3
2C.Morel, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
3J.Caminero, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
3J.Caminero, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
4J.Aranda, 1B	3-4	0	0	0
4T.Jankowski, PR	0-1	0	0	0
4T.Jankowski, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Jansen, C	2-5	0	0	1
6C.Mead, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
6C.Simpson, PH	1-3	0	0	0
6C.Simpson, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6C.Simpson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, RF	2-5	1	0	0
7J.Caballero, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
7J.Caballero, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
8K.Misner, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	3-4	2	0	0