The Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks will face off in the MLB this afternoon. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on SportsNet PT.
Find my MLB betting preview and Diamondbacks vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Pirates pick: Under 7.5 (-110)
My Diamondbacks vs Pirates best bet is on the under, with the best odds currently on DraftKings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +133 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -163 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Zac Gallen (ARI) | Stat | RHP Paul Skenes (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | W-L | 5-8 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 4.2 |
| 5.58 / 5.03 | ERA /xERA | 1.91 / 2.51 |
| 4.86 / 4.09 | FIP / xFIP | 2.40 / 3.09 |
| 1.37 | WHIP | 0.91 |
| 13.4% | K-BB% | 21.5% |
| 41.2% | GB% | 46.5% |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 104 | Location+ | 111 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Preview, Picks
The series between the Diamondbacks and Pirates left us with two very close games, with Arizona winning 1-0 on Friday and Pittsburgh winning 2-0 last night.
Zac Gallen is expected to take over the starting pitching role for the D-Backs, while Paul Skenes is expected to do so for the Pirates, reaching his seventh start, where he averaged one strikeout per inning.
Evan Abrams' Under After Low Scoring Game in Series system targets MLB regular season games where both teams are coming off low-scoring performances (0 to 2 runs scored in their previous game) within the same series.
These matchups tend to reflect strong pitching or cold offenses, and the market may not adjust the total downward enough in time.
This strategy filters for more recent seasons to reflect current scoring environments and pitcher usage trends.
Betting the under in these situations has shown consistent short-term profitability.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)
