The Washington Nationals host the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 26, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Diamondbacks are favored by -119 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are -100 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals Pick: Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits (+175, BetMGM)
My Diamondbacks vs Nationals best bet is Gabriel Moreno to go over his hits total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -155 | 10.5 -111o / -110u | -119 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +126 | 10.5 -111o / -110u | -100 |
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals moneyline: Diamondbacks -119, Nationals -100
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals over/under: 10.5 (-111o / -110u)
- Diamondbacks vs Nationals spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+126), Nationals +1.5 (-155)
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| LHP Kohl Drake (ARI) | Stat | RHP Miles Mikolas (WSN) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 3-7 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.6 |
| 1.80/5.59 | ERA / xERA | 5.60/5.08 |
| 2.91/4.44 | FIP / xFIP | 5.46/4.65 |
| 14.3% | K-BB% | 7.4% |
| 30.8% | GB% | 45.1% |
| .308 | BABIP | .277 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 90 | Location+ | 109 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Washington Nationals square off in a Sunday afternoon rubber match at Nationals Park, with both clubs sitting above .500 and looking to gain traction heading into late summer.
Arizona took Friday night's opener in a tight 3-2 duel, but Washington answered back Saturday with a 5-3 win behind clutch hitting from CJ Abrams and James Wood. The Diamondbacks arrive at Sunday's clash in solid form, holding a 7-3 record over their past 10 games while outscoring opponents by 15 runs in that span.
Washington sends veteran right-hander Miles Mikolas (3-7, 5.60 ERA, 1.34 WHIP) to the mound. Mikolas has struggled to suppress hard contact and keep baserunners off the paths, managing just 51 strikeouts over nearly 100 innings. Arizona counters with rookie starter Kohl Drake (0-0, 1.80 ERA).
With oddsmakers setting a high line of 10.5 runs, sportsbooks expect plenty of offense in the humid D.C. weather, opening up strong value in the player prop markets.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Pick, Betting Analysis
Our Action Network PRO Projections model has identified an edge on Arizona catcher Gabriel Moreno to record over 1.5 Hits. Here is why the projection model loves this spot for Moreno in Sunday's series finale:
Miles Mikolas is a dream match for a high-contact hitter like Moreno. Mikolas relies heavily on a sinker-slider combination designed to pitch to contact, but he simply isn't missing bats this season. When a starter sports a 5.60 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP, balls put in play naturally turn into hits at an elevated rate. Moreno won't have to worry about swinging through top-tier swing-and-miss stuff; he'll get plenty of hittable strikes early in counts.
Gabriel Moreno is one of the premier bat-to-ball backstops in baseball. Rather than pulling for power and risking elevated strikeout rates, Moreno uses the whole field with a sprayed line-drive approach. Moreno consistently ranks near the top of the league in zone contact rate, making him uniquely equipped to punish pitch-to-contact righties.
With the total set at 10.5 runs, oddsmakers anticipate frequent rally opportunities. Washington’s relief corps has posted a 4.70 ERA over their last 10 games and has been heavily worked over the first two games of the series. Moreno should see at least 4 to 5 plate impressions on Sunday, giving him the volume required to clear a multi-hit prop.
Pick: Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits (+175, BetMGM)
