The Baltimore Orioles host the Houston Astros on August 23, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MASN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Astros vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Astros vs Orioles Prediction
- Astros vs Orioles picks: Under 9
My Astros vs Orioles best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Orioles Odds
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 9 -115o / -105u | +105 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 9 -115o / -105u | -125 |
Astros vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers
| Cristian Javier (HOU) | Stat | Dean Kremer (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 9-9 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.5 |
| 3.38/3.66 | ERA /xERA | 3.97/3.69 |
| 4.12/4.77 | FIP / xFIP | 3.81/4.11 |
| 1.00 | WHIP | 1.21 |
| 15.6 | K-BB% | 14.2 |
| 22.7 | GB% | 40 |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 99 | Location+ | 102 |
Astros vs Orioles Prediction, Betting Analysis
The “Steam Unders with Low OU Support” MLB betting system identifies profitable opportunities where sharp money pushes totals lower while the public continues to back the over. Covering regular-season games from 2019 through 2025, this strategy targets matchups with closing totals between 8 and 10, the most common scoring ranges in baseball.
The system looks for games where the line drops from open to close, signaling sharp action on the under, yet public betting remains heavily tilted toward the over. To reduce noise, it only includes games played in mild to warm weather while excluding extreme heat or cold. It also filters out matchups where either team is riding hot over or under streaks, focusing instead on teams with neutral recent scoring trends.
This combination of sharp steam, limited public support, and realistic scoring ranges highlights inflated totals where the under offers hidden value. With a large sample size and consistent performance, this system has produced a 12% ROI this season and a 14 % ROI since 2019, proving that low-confidence unders with sharp backing can uncover overlooked betting edges in Major League Baseball.
Pick: Under 9
Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under in tonight's Astros vs. Orioles matchup.
