The Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on August 19, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NESN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Orioles vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction
- Orioles vs Red Sox picks: Under 9.5
My Orioles vs Red Sox best bet is on game totals with the best odds currently on Fanatics. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Red Sox Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -174 | 9 -118o / -104u | +120 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +143 | 9 -118o / -104u | -143 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | Stat | RHP Walker Buehler (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | W-L | 7-7 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.7 |
| 4.13 / 5.69 | ERA /xERA | 5.43 / 5.69 |
| 4.91 / 4.74 | FIP / xFIP | 5.89 / 4.92 |
| 1.28 | WHIP | 1.55 |
| 9.3% | K-BB% | 5.9% |
| 40.1% | GB% | 44.7% |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 104 | Location+ | 98 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
Weather Watch Unders is a system built for MLB totals bettors who understand how environmental factors quietly shift run production.
This approach keys in on games with moderate to strong winds—especially those blowing in or cross-field—paired with mild to cool temperatures, a known recipe for stifled fly balls and reduced scoring.
When totals open high, but tick down before the first pitch, it signals sharp money reacting to these same weather cues.
With home moneyline ranges excluding extreme mismatches, the model focuses on fairly priced contests where weather truly has a chance to swing scoring.
Layer in the context of regular-season motivation, and this strategy captures overlooked market inefficiencies in totals inflated by prior offensive output rather than conditions on the field.
Pick: Under 9.5
