The Houston Astros host the Boston Red Sox on August 13, 2025. First pitch from Daikin Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NESN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Red Sox vs Astros prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Red Sox vs Astros Prediction
- Red Sox vs Astros pick: Under 8 (-115)
My Red Sox vs Astros best bet is Under 8.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Astros Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -163 | 8 -105o / -115u | +129 |
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +133 | 8 -105o / -115u | -158 |
Red Sox vs Astros Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Walker Buehler (BOS) | Stat | RHP Hunter Brown (HOU) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | W-L | 9-5 |
| -0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.9 |
| 5.40 / 5.46 | ERA / xERA | 2.51 / 3.00 |
| 5.72 / 4.86 | FIP / xFIP | 2.89 / 2.98 |
| 1.56 | WHIP | 0.98 |
| 6.4 | K-BB% | 22.6 |
| 44.8 | GB% | 45.8 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 91 | Location+ | 97 |
Red Sox vs Astros Preview
Hunter Brown will take the mound for the Astros with a 2.51 ERA and 0.98 WHIP this season.
At home, the right-hander has better splits with a 2.37 ERA and 0.92 WHIP compared to his 2.62 ERA and 1.03 WHIP on the road.
Walker Buehler will oppose him. After a difficult start to the season, the Red Sox starter has performed much closer to the level expected of him.
Buehler has not allowed more than three runs in any outing since the start of July.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under in this game.
This system targets unders in MLB series games (Game 2 or later) where both teams have winning records, suggesting quality pitching and competitive matchups.
However, public betting leans toward the over — likely expecting fireworks between top teams — which creates contrarian value on the under.
By capitalizing on low public support for the under (≤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output late in a series.
Pick: Under 8 (-115, Fanatics)
