Red Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds: MLB Picks, Preview for Tuesday, July 29

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds: MLB Picks, Preview for Tuesday, July 29 article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images. Pictured: Lucas Giolito

Starting soon
Odds Updating Soon
Matchup - 7/29 11:40pm UTCSpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5+129
o9+100
-128
+1.5-154
u9-121
+107

The Boston Red Sox (57-51) and Minnesota Twins (51-55) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on MNNT.

Boston is a -120 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Minnesota is +100 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9 total runs.

Continue below for my Red Sox vs. Twins predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, July 29, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

Quickslip

Red Sox vs Twins Picks, Prediction

  • Red Sox vs Twins pick: Under 9 Runs (-120)

My Twins vs. Red Sox best bet is on the under, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Red Sox vs Twins Odds for Tuesday, July 29

Red Sox Logo
Tuesday, July 29
7:40 p.m. ET
MNNT
Twins Logo
Red Sox Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+135
9
+100o / -120u
-120
Twins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-160
9
+100o / -120u
+100
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins MLB Preview

Lucas Giolito will look to bounce back after a couple of rough outings. The Red Sox' starter has a 2.57 ERA over his past seven starts, and that includes those two lousy ones.

One key factor for him on Tuesday is the venue.

In 2025, Giolito has been performing much better on the road with a 3.30 ERA compared to his 4.84 ERA at Fenway Park.

He will face a Twins offense that has been lacking punch recently, scoring three or fewer runs in four out of their last five games.

The Red Sox offense has not been all that productive either in their past four contests, averaging less than four runs per game.

This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under today.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Silent Sharp Unders
the temperature is between 34 and 87 degrees
the visiting team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 40% and 100%
the home team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 40% and 100%
the closing total is between 7.5 and 10
the home team's game number is between 6 and 162
the visitor team's win percentage is between 46% and 100%
the home team's win percentage is between 46% and 100%
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 0
the over/under % is between 1% and 29%
betting on the Under
$21,802
WON
1267-997-91
RECORD
56%
WIN%

The Silent Sharp Unders system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.

These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions, and closing totals in a common scoring range.

Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the Under, likely due to matchup specifics, pitching, or pace factors.

By following this soft signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals — this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.

Red Sox vs Twins Best Bet

  • Under 9 (-120)

Red Sox vs Twins Betting Trends



For the latest on MLB injuries, be sure to check out our MLB Injury Report page.

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