HomeRight ArrowMLB

Red Sox vs Yankees Game 1 Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Saturday, August 29

Red Sox vs Yankees Game 1 Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Saturday, August 29 article feature image
3 min read
Credit:

Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images. Pictured: Carlos Rodón.

The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox on August 29, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MLB Network.

The Yankees are favored by -118 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Red Sox are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


Header First Logo
Header Second Logo

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

  • Red Sox vs Yankees Pick: Under 8 (Play to -115)

My Red Sox vs Yankees best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Red Sox vs Yankees Odds

Red Sox Logo
Saturday, Aug 29
1:05 p.m. ET
MLB Network
Yankees Logo
Red Sox Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-205
8
-106o / -114u
+110
Yankees Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+168
8
-106o / -114u
-118
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Red Sox vs Yankees moneyline: Red Sox +110, Yankees -118
  • Red Sox vs Yankees over/under: 8 (-106o / -114u)
  • Red Sox vs Yankees spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-205), Yankees -1.5 (+168)

Red Sox vs Yankees Probable Pitchers

Jake Bennett (LHP, BOS)StatCarlos Rodón (LHP, NYY)
8-6W-L4-2
2.0fWAR (FanGraphs)1.0
3.49 / 3.28ERA / xERA3.15 / 4.00
3.31 / 3.87FIP / xFIP3.62 / 4.27
13.9%K-BB%12.3%
43.1%GB%37.7%
.268BABIP.237
93Stuff+107
112Location+85

Red Sox vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview

Header First Logo

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox hand the ball to left-hander Jake Bennett, who should serve as a good candidate to back. A second-round draft pick in 2022, Bennett has impressed in his first MLB season.

Through 15 starts, the southpaw is 8-6 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. His underlying metrics are even stronger.

Entering this matchup, Bennett owns a 3.29 xERA. He also ranks in the top third of the league in chase rate, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

One of those 15 starts came against the New York Yankees. In that outing, Bennett surrendered just one run on three hits in more than six innings of work.

There were just five total runs scored in that game.

Header First Logo

New York Yankees Betting Preview

From the other side, the current Yankees roster owns a .143 batting average, a .143 slugging percentage and a .199 weighted on-base average in 16 combined plate appearances against Bennett.

While New York is capable of generating runs, it relies heavily on the long ball to do so. As the numbers demonstrate, that is a difficult approach against a pitcher like Bennett, who limits hard contact.

The Yankees have struggled to produce runs without the ball leaving the yard, ranking 28th in hits per game, 28th in batting average and 24th in on-base percentage. The good news for New York is that left-hander Carlos Rodón takes the mound.

Putting together another strong campaign, Rodón is 4-2 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP through 11 starts. It is a smaller sample size due to injury, but he has been fantastic since returning to the rotation.

In his two starts since returning, Rodón owns a 2.25 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP.


Header First Logo

Red Sox vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis

Rodón’s underlying metrics are also strong. This season, he ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

While Boston possesses a strong lineup, Rodón has proven capable of handling it. Over the past three meetings, Rodón is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP.

Pick: Under 8 (Play to -115)


Red Sox vs Yankees Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.