The St. Louis Cardinals host the Boston Red Sox on April 12, 2026. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on CARD.
The Red Sox are favored by -122 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cardinals are +104 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Cardinals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs Cardinals Prediction
- Red Sox vs Cardinals Pick: Brayan Bello Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-136)
My Red Sox vs Cardinals best bet is on Brayan Bello to record under 4.5 strikeouts today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Cardinals Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +136 | 8.5 -122o / -100u | -122 |
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -164 | 8.5 -122o / -100u | +104 |
- Red Sox vs Cardinals spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+136), Cardinals +1.5 (-164)
- Red Sox vs Cardinals over/under: 8.5 (-122o / +100u)
- Red Sox vs Cardinals moneyline: Red Sox -122, Cardinals +104
Red Sox vs Cardinals Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Brayan Bello (BOS) | Stat | RHP Andre Pallante (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | W-L | 1-0 |
| -0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 9.00 / 6.32 | ERA / xERA | 1.80 / 4.31 |
| 5.62 / 5.12 | FIP / xFIP | 4.22 / 5.51 |
| 2.50 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 0.00 | K-BB% | -4.7 |
| 58.6 | GB% | 61.3 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 97 | Location+ | 82 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Preview
Action PRO projects Red Sox starter Brayan Bello for 3.6 strikeouts in their matchup against the Cardinals today, giving us a solid 15.3% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to mark the Over with an A- grade in our system.
He has seven total strikeouts in two starts so far, but has already issued eight walks and allowed eight earned runs, which spells trouble.
If Bello can't get it together against St. Louis, a high-pitch count and/or early struggles will cut short his start on Sunday.
Last season, Bello saw his strikeout numbers come down significantly, fanning just 124 batters across 166 and 2/3 innings.
Today, he will face a Cardinals lineup that ranks 11th in strikeout percentage with 21.4 this season.
Given his current form, let's fade him this afternoon in St. Louis.
Pick: Brayan Bello Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-136, FanDuel)
