The Baltimore Orioles host the Milwaukee Brewers on September 18, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Brewers are favored by -144 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Brewers vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Brewers vs Orioles Prediction
- Brewers vs Orioles Pick: Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits (+180, BetMGM)
My Brewers vs Orioles best bet is on Jackson Chourio to go over 1.5 hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Brewers vs Orioles Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -140 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -144 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +115 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | +120 |
- Brewers vs Orioles moneyline: Brewers -144, Orioles +120
- Brewers vs Orioles over/under: 8.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Brewers vs Orioles spread: Brewers -1.5 (+115), Orioles +1.5 (-140)
Brewers vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Dustin May (RHP, MIL) | Stat | Cade Povich (LHP, BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 2.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 4.49/4.26 | ERA / xERA | 4.05/4.69 |
| 3.42/3.96 | FIP / xFIP | 4.81/4.80 |
| 14.9% | K-BB% | 8.5% |
| 42.3% | GB% | 44.7% |
| .315 | BABIP | .306 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 103 | Location+ | 90 |
Brewers vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (95-58) head into Oriole Park at Camden Yards looking to tighten their hold on top seed positioning in the National League. After a dominant late-summer push, the Brewers have leaned heavily on a high-octane offense anchored by young star power and reliable power hitting.
Right-hander Dustin May (7-9, 4.49 ERA) takes the mound for Milwaukee. May possesses elite sinker-cutter movement, but command volatility leaves him susceptible to extended multi-hit innings when missing over the plate.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles (75-78) host the series opener looking to play spoiler. While Baltimore’s post-season push has stalled down the stretch, their lineup remains potent in home spots.
Left-hander Cade Povich (2-1, 4.05 ERA) gets the nod for Baltimore. The young southpaw relies on a sweeping breaking ball and changeup mix, but he has struggled against right-handed bats capable of jumping on early-count fastballs.
Brewers vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis
Our PRO Projections targets Milwaukee outfielder Jackson Chourio to hit the Over on his 1.5 Hits prop on Friday evening.
Chourio has been one of baseball's most lethal hit-producers since late August. Batting near the .300 mark on the season, Chourio has elevated his output even further over his past 20 games, posting a monster .377/.402/.675 line. He regularly pushes past single-hit performances, registering multi-hit efforts in 5 of his last 12 starts.
Facing the left-handed Cade Povich gives Chourio an immediate tactical edge. Chourio crushes southpaws with high-velocity contact off the barrel. Povich's primary struggle against righties stems from leaving secondary pitches up in the zone—a zone where Chourio drives the ball with high contact rates
Positioned high in Milwaukee’s order, Chourio is primed for 4 to 5 plate appearances. Even if Povich exits early, Baltimore’s bullpen has conceded higher-than-average contact rates to top-of-the-order righties, giving Chourio multiple late-game paths to secure his second hit.
Pick: Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits (+180, BetMGM)
