The New York Mets host the St. Louis Cardinals on June 10, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -135 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cardinals are +114 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Cardinals vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction
- Cardinals vs Mets Pick: Andre Pallante Under 3.5 Strikeouts
My Cardinals vs Mets best bet is on Andre Pallente Strikeouts Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cardinals vs Mets Odds
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +150 | 8.5 -101o / -120u | +114 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -185 | 8.5 -101o / -120u | -135 |
- Cardinals vs Mets moneyline: Cardinals +114, Mets -135
- Cardinals vs Mets over/under: 8.5 (-101o / -120u)
- Cardinals vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+150 ), Cardinals +1.5 (-185)
Cardinals vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| RHP Andre Pallante (STL) | Stat | RHP Austin Warren (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 3.96/3.84 | ERA / xERA | 2.01/4.01 |
| 4.41/4.25 | FIP / xFIP | 3.55/4.00 |
| 10.2% | K-BB% | 15.4% |
| 50.8% | GB% | 34.5% |
| .277 | BABIP | .250 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 102 | Location+ | 105 |
Cardinals vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals enter Wednesday's contest riding high after a dominant 7-0 blowout victory over the Mets in Tuesday's series opener. Behind a stellar pitching performance from Dustin May and a balanced offensive explosion from the likes of Jordan Walker, Alec Burleson, and Masyn Winn, the Cardinals look like a team finding its stride.
St. Louis has leaned heavily on its young, athletic core to manufacture runs, and they will look to keep that momentum rolling to secure a series win on the road.
On the flip side, the New York Mets are looking for a quick course correction. Despite boasting a star-studded 2026 lineup that features elite powerhouse talent like Juan Soto, Bo Bichette, and Marcus Semien, the Mets' bats were completely silenced on Tuesday.
Returning home to Citi Field was supposed to provide a spark, but instead, New York found itself shut out. The Mets have the veteran leadership and pure bat-to-ball skill to bounce back immediately, making this Wednesday night clash a crucial pivot point for their homestand.
Cardinals vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
Our PRO Projections have flagged a significant edge on Cardinals starter Andre Pallante, with our projection models looking past the recent variance and fading the right-hander for a few reasons.
Pallante is not a punchout pitcher by trade; he is a contact-manager. He led the National League last season with a massive 59.5% groundball rate. He finds success by working low in the zone, generating weak contact, and letting his infield turn double plays.
His career strikeout rate consistently hovers around a modest 6.0 to 7.0 K/9. When a pitcher actively hunts for groundballs rather than swings and misses, his ceiling for strikeouts remains incredibly low. However, you could not draw up a worse matchup for an extreme groundball pitcher than the top of this New York lineup.
Juan Soto possesses some of the best plate discipline in baseball history and rarely chases out of the zone. Veteran anchors like Marcus Semien and Bo Bichette excel at putting the ball in play early in the count. When hitters don't strike out and don't extend counts, plate appearances end quickly. Fewer deep counts mean fewer put-away opportunities for Pallante, heavily favoring the under.
Pallante's leash can be short if he doesn't have his best command. Through 12 starts this season, he’s pitching to a respectable 3.96 ERA but is averaging just over 5 innings per appearance. In a late-May outing against the Cubs, he was chased after just 3.0 innings.
If the Mets' disciplined hitters lay off his borderline pitches and force him into high-stress frames, Pallante may find himself watching the final frames from the dugout well before he can threaten a fourth strikeout.
Pick: Andre Pallante Under 3.5 Strikeouts
