The San Diego Padres host the St. Louis Cardinals on August 3, 2025. First pitch from PETCO Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSMW.
Find my MLB betting preview and Cardinals vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Cardinals vs Padres Prediction
- Cardinals vs Padres picks: Under 8
My Cardinals vs Padres best bet is the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cardinals vs Padres Odds
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 8.5 100o / -120u | +155 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +118 | 8.5 100o / -120u | -190 |
Cardinals vs Padres Projected Starting Pitchers
| Andre Pallante (STL) | Stat | Dylan Cease (SDP) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | W-L | 3-10 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.2 |
| 4.62/4.17 | ERA /xERA | 4.79/3.55 |
| 4.33/3.80 | FIP / xFIP | 3.65/3.40 |
| 1.31 | WHIP | 1.34 |
| 7.8 | K-BB% | 20.7 |
| 62 | GB% | 37.1 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 104 | Location+ | 100 |
Cardinals vs Padres Prediction, Betting Analysis
This MLB betting system targets unders in regular-season Game 3 or 4 matchups when the home team starts a pitcher with low strikeout rates and a moderate WHIP. These “soft-tossers” don’t overpower hitters, but their presence often slows the pace of scoring—especially late in a series, when hitters are more familiar with pitching tendencies.
By this point in the series, scouting reports are dialed in, but when weather conditions—especially wind—are neutral, offensive explosions become less likely. This system filters out games with strong wind influence, focusing instead on calmer environments that suppress run production.
With home teams performing at a league-average level during the midseason grind, the market may overestimate scoring potential, creating sneaky value on the under. This setup consistently exploits overlooked low-scoring trends tied to pitcher profile, series depth, and muted environmental factors.
Pick: Under 8
Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under in today's Cardinals vs. Padres matchup.
