The Kansas City Royals host the Chicago White Sox on April 10, 2026. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on CHSN+.
The Royals are favored by -175 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are +145 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and White Sox vs Royals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
White Sox vs Royals Prediction
- White Sox vs Royals Pick: Royals ML (-175 | Play to -180)
My White Sox vs Royals best bet is on Kansas City to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
White Sox vs Royals Odds
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 8 -115o / -105u | +145 |
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 8 -115o / -105u | -175 |
- White Sox vs Royals spread: White Sox +1.5 (-150), Royals -1.5 (+125)
- White Sox vs Royals over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- White Sox vs Royals moneyline: White Sox +145, Royals -175
White Sox vs Royals Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Davis Martin (CHW) | Stat | LHP Kris Bubic (KC) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 2.45 / 4.84 | ERA /xERA | 4.09 / 4.20 |
| 3.51 / 3.47 | FIP / xFIP | 4.97 / 4.20 |
| 1.18 | WHIP | 1.09 |
| 18.2 | K-BB% | 13.6 |
| 33.3 | GB% | 38.5 |
| 89 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 96 | Location+ | 108 |
White Sox vs Royals Preview
Projections show a sizable difference in the starting pitching matchup between Kris Bubic (projected FIP range of 3.44 to 3.93; K-BB% range of 13.9% to 16.1%) and Davis Martin (FIP range from 4.46 to 4.87; K-BB% from 9.4% to 11.1%); Bubic projects as a midrotation starter with No. 2 upside, whereas Martin is between a No. 4 starter and a replacement-level arm.
Bubic struggled to find his footing until spending the 2024 season in the Royals' bullpen; he turned a 1.87 xERA and 2.04 xFIP with a 28.1% K-BB% as an elite reliever into a 3.17 xERA and 3.63 xFIP, 16.2% K-BB% season as a late-blooming 28-year-old starter.
Action PRO projects Bubic for 5.3 strikeouts tonight.
Meanwhile, Martin has had pockets of success, but the metrics are going in the wrong direction; despite posting a 2.45 ERA through two starts, his xERA (4.87), and swinging strike rate (6.8 vs. 10.4% career) tell you that a 2.45 ERA and a 18.2% K-BB% are not sustainable.
I'd normally project these bullpens around even, but the White Sox will likely be down their best pitcher, Grant Taylor, after he recorded four outs on Thursday, and I project the Royals' relievers more than a quarter of a run better.
Kansas City also has a distinct lineup edge (averaged to a 111 vs. a 96 wRC+ against right-handed pitching) over Chicago throughout this contest.
Pick: Royals ML (-175, BetMGM | Play to -180)
