The San Diego Padres host the Cincinnati Reds on June 9, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CINR.
The Reds are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Padres Prediction
- Reds vs Padres Pick: Reds ML (-124 or Better) | Reds F5 ML (-165 or Better)
My Reds vs Padres best bets are the Reds first five moneyline and the Reds full game moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Padres Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 7.5 105o / -125u | -125 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 7.5 105o / -125u | +105 |
- Reds vs Padres moneyline: Reds -125, Padres +105
- Reds vs Padres over/under: 7.5 (+105o / -125u)
- Reds vs Padres spread: Reds -1.5 (+144), Padres +1.5 (-172)
Reds vs Padres Probable Pitchers
| Chase Burns (RHP) | Stat | Lucas Giolioto (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 1.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.2 |
| 2.05/2.89 | ERA / xERA | 4.86/5.14 |
| 3.36/3.20 | FIP / xFIP | 6.65/6.30 |
| 22 | K-BB% | -2.7 |
| 40.5 | GB% | 26.0 |
| .228 | BABIP | .277 |
| 112 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 102 | Location+ | 96 |
Reds vs Padres MLB Betting Preview
Editor’s Note: This written pick is a transcription from today's episode of the Payoff Pitch Podcast.
Flipping to the Reds today, I like them both in the first five innings and for the full game.
I’m betting the Reds First 5 up to -165 and the Reds full game up to -125.
Just looking at the lineups quickly, the Reds project for more power while the Padres project for more contact, but overall, I give the edge in offensive quality to Cincinnati.
The main concern is that the Reds currently project as one of the weakest bullpens in baseball. The Padres obviously have a much stronger bullpen, but I expect Mason Miller to be unavailable tonight after throwing three times in the last four days. That should downgrade San Diego’s bullpen from elite (No. 2 or No. 3) down to roughly league average for this game.
With a massive starting pitching advantage and the better offense on their side, I’m comfortable taking the Reds in both halves.
Pick: Reds ML (-124 or Better) | Reds F5 ML (-165 or Better)
