The Kansas City Royals host the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday, July 26, 2025. First pitch for the second game of this doubleheader from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Find my Guardians vs Royals prediction and pick for Game 2 below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends and more.
My Guardians vs Royals Prediction
- Guardians vs Royals pick: F5 Under 4.5
My Guardians vs Royals best bet is the first five innings under 4.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Royals Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -194 | 8 -107o / -113u | +112 |
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +157 | 8 -107o / -113u | -137 |
Guardians vs Royals Projected Starting Pitchers
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | Stat | Kris Bubic (KC) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-9 | W-L | 8-6 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.3 |
| 4.27/3.59 | ERA /xERA | 2.38/3.04 |
| 4.44/4.13 | FIP / xFIP | 2.76/3.40 |
| 1.22 | WHIP | 1.14 |
| 13.7 | K-BB% | 17.4 |
| 45.3 | GB% | 46.8 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 97 | Location+ | 105 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction, Betting Analysis
The "Low Total Unders with Line Movement (F5)" system focuses on early-game betting value in MLB matchups where oddsmakers and sharp bettors expect limited scoring. It begins with low full-game totals between 3.5 and 6.5 runs, signaling elite pitching duels or unfavorable hitting conditions.
A key indicator is line movement—when the full-game total drops by 0.5 to 1 run from open to close, it reflects sharp money leaning heavily toward the under. To ensure value, the system requires first-five unders priced between -149 and -120, filtering out inflated juice.
Games with moderate wind conditions (4 to 9 mph) are included, as these winds subtly suppress offense without creating obvious public betting angles. By targeting first-half unders in tightly lined games with downward line movement, this strategy takes advantage of market signals pointing to strong defensive control.
Backed by data from the past three MLB seasons, this system consistently identifies high-value first-five under opportunities in games where early scoring is expected to be minimal.
This system has gone 83-43 this season, producing a 17 % ROI.
Pick: F5 Under 4.5
Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under in the first five.
