It's a smaller slate on Monday, but that doesn't mean there isn't value from a home run perspective.
In fact, I have five picks for you to help fill out your betting card.
Read on for my Home Run Picks Today for Monday, April 20.
Home Run Picks Today
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6:10 p.m. | |
| 6:40 p.m. | |
| 6:40 p.m. | |
| 7:40 p.m. | |
| 9:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Astros vs. Guardians Home Run Pick
Yordan Alvarez
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+430)
The weather won't be great in Cleveland, but the matchup and odds more than make up for it.
Yordan Alvarez has been the best hitter in the league this season, and he's been hammering the ball recently.
Opposing pitcher Slade Cecconi has been a great matchup for lefty power in his career, allowing a high 1.63 HR/9.
I have the true odds here around +330, making this a great bet.
Pick: Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs (+430)
Cardinals vs. Marlins Home Run Pick
Jordan Walker
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+680)
I know that Jordan Walker hasn't hit one in a few days, but these odds are far too high on him again.
Max Meyer has been a gas can for righty power in his career, allowing a massive 2.22 HR/9.
This ballpark is a downgrade for Walker, but given the spot, I have the true odds here under +500, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs (+680)
Reds vs. Rays Home Run Pick
Junior Caminero
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+440)
Opposing pitcher Rhett Lowder has been good through four career starts, but he's due for some massive regression and grades out as an above-average matchup for righty power.
Junior Caminero is one of the best home-run hitters in the league and has been in great form recently.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+440)
Orioles vs. Royals Home Run Pick
Gunnar Henderson
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+470)
Gunnar Henderson has been good to start this season, and this is a fantastic spot.
The weather in Kansas City should be good for power, and opposing pitcher Seth Lugo is an absolute gas can for lefty power.
Last season, Lugo allowed a massive 2.31 HR/9 to lefties, and while he's been good this season, he's due for some big regression.
I have the true odds here around +375, putting us in a great spot.
Pick: Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs (+470)
Athletics vs. Mariners Home Run Pick
Nick Kurtz
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375)
Nick Kurtz hasn't gotten off to a great start to the season, but he's been hitting the ball hard recently, and he gets a good spot on Monday.
Emerson Hancock has pitched well this season, but he's historically been a big plus matchup for lefty power, allowing a high 1.39 HR/9.
This ballpark is a downgrade for Kurtz, but the temperature should be good in Seattle, and the ball should fly decently.
I have the true odds here around +325, giving us nice value.
