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Astros vs Padres Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday Night Baseball

Astros vs Padres Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday Night Baseball article feature image
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IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Yordan Alvarez

The San Diego Padres host the Houston Astros on August 9, 2026, for Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBC/Peacock.

The Padres are -116 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The Astros are +106 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Astros vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Astros vs Padres Prediction

  • Astros vs Padres Pick: Astros ML

My Astros vs Padres best bet is Houston Moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Astros vs Padres Odds

Astros Logo
Sunday, Aug 9
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC/Peacock
Padres Logo
Astros Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+164
8.5
-115o / -105u
+106
Padres Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-200
8.5
-115o / -105u
-116
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Astros vs Padres moneyline: Astros +106, Padres -116
  • Astros vs Padres over/under: 8.5 (-115o / -105u)
  • Astros vs Padres spread: Astros -1.5 (+164), Padres +1.5 (-200)

Astros vs Padres Probable Pitchers

RHP Cristian Javier (HOU)StatRHP Randy Vasquez (SDP)
1-2W-L7-6
0.0fWAR (FanGraphs)0.6
6.59/5.14ERA / xERA4.19/6.12
5.17/5.66FIP / xFIP4.64/5.08
6.4K-BB%7.8
25.0GB%37.0
.333BABIP.306
97Stuff+98
99Location+101

Astros vs Padres MLB Betting Preview

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Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Astros (60-58) are looking to take two of three on the road against the Padres. They're coming off a tough 3-2 loss, where Padres' right-hander Michael King shut them down across six innings of one-run ball.

Houston is sending out Cristian Javier, who has been rock-solid since rejoining the rotation. He pitched five scoreless innings vs. the Angels on July 27th and then followed that up with three earned runs in six innings vs. the Blue Jays. Don't be surprised if we see a quality outing from Javier here.

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San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The Padres (61-57) are trying to win this home series vs. the Astros. They've been very good at home this season, putting up a 33-26 record.

San Diego is sending out Randy Vasquez, who has been excellent in his last two starts, combining for 10.2 innings with zero earned runs. He seems to have found his groove on the mound.


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Astros vs Padres Pick, Betting Analysis

I'm going with Astros ML in this matchup.

This is a bet on Cristian Javier and Houston's edge in the bullpen. Javier is showcasing an improved arsenal since returning to the rotation, featuring a new cutter. He's displaying excellent command, yet has issued no walks in these two starts.

This is a major development because Javier has always struggled with walks. Facing the Padres in a pitcher-friendly environment, I'm betting on a quality outing here.

The Astros didn't use any of their three high-leverage relievers yesterday, as Josh Hader, Steven Okert, and Bryan Abreu had the night off. Meanwhile, Mason Miller (22 pitches), Adrian Morejon (23 pitches), and Jeremiah Estrada (20 pitches) each pitched for the Padres.

If each of these relievers pitches tonight, it would be their third appearance in the last four nights, so they're relatively taxed. I know that Randy Vasquez has performed better lately, but he typically doesn't pitch deep into games and isn't projected to tonight, as his outs prop is at 14.5.

Considering these factors, we'll ride with the Astros here.

Pick: Astros ML


Astros vs Padres Weather


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About the Author
Frank AmmiranteVerified Action Expert

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