The Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals on September 12, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ROYL.
The Red Sox are favored by -190 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Royals are +160 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Royals vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Royals vs Red Sox Prediction
- Royals vs Red Sox Pick: Randy Dobnak Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)
My Royals vs Red Sox best bet is on Randy Dobnak strikeouts prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Royals vs Red Sox Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | +160 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +110 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -190 |
- Royals vs Red Sox moneyline: Royals +160, Red Sox -190
- Royals vs Red Sox over/under: 8.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Royals vs Red Sox spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+110), Royals +1.5 (-130)
Royals vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| Randy Dobnak (RHP, KCR) | Stat | Ranger Suarez (LHP, BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | W-L | 6-4 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.4 |
| 2.54/4.81 | ERA / xERA | 3.44/3.72 |
| 4.10/4.16 | FIP / xFIP | 3.11/3.72 |
| 7.5% | K-BB% | 15.1% |
| 50.3% | GB% | 41.6% |
| .282 | BABIP | .303 |
| 82 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 106 | Location+ | 106 |
Royals vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
There is a value opportunity on Randy Dobnak's strikeouts prop.
THE BAT X is projecting him to record 2.65 strikeouts, while oddsmakers are implying 3.61.
The model believes there is a 73% chance he records fewer than 4 strikeouts, so there is value on the under at -130.
This play is good down to at least -197.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Randy Dobnak Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)
