Royals vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds for Tuesday, July 22

Royals vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds for Tuesday, July 22 article feature image
Credit:

David Banks-Imagn Images. Pictured: Matthew Boyd (Cubs)

The Chicago Cubs host the Kansas City Royals on July 22, 2025. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSKC.

Find my MLB betting preview and Royals vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Royals vs Cubs Prediction

  • Royals vs Cubs pick: Under 9

My Royals vs Cubs best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Royals vs Cubs Odds

Royals Logo
Tuesday, July 22
8:05 p.m. ET
FDSKC
Cubs Logo
Royals Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
+101
9
-105o / -115u
+213
Cubs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-123
9
-105o / -115u
-268
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Royals vs Cubs Projected Starting Pitchers

Rich Hill (KC)StatMatthew Boyd (CHC)
First Start This SeasonW-L10-3
fWAR (FanGraphs)2.7
ERA /xERA2.34 / 3.32
FIP / xFIP3.18 / 3.85
WHIP1.03
K-BB%18
GB%37
Stuff+96
Location+108

Royals vs Cubs Prediction, Betting Analysis

On Monday, the Royals trailed 4-1 in the second inning before rallying with four runs in the fifth and eighth innings to win 12-4. Kansas City used four homers — including two from Salvador Perez to squash Ben Brown and company.

So, will that offense continue today? It seems unlikely based on which system is lighting up for this Game 2 on Tuesday.

According to Evan Abrams, with Rich Hill (2025 debut) and Matthew Boyd on the hill, the under is in play.

The "Silent Sharp Unders" system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.

These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions and closing totals in a standard scoring range.

Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under likely due to matchup specifics, pitching or pace factors.

By following this subtle signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks rather than totals — this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Silent Sharp Unders
betting on the Under
the over/under % is between 1% and 29%
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 0
the home team's win percentage is between 46% and 100%
the visitor team's win percentage is between 46% and 100%
the home team's game number is between 6 and 162
the closing total is between 7.5 and 10
the home team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 40% and 100%
the visiting team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 40% and 100%
the temperature is between 34 and 87 degrees
$21,597
WON
1257-990-87
RECORD
56%
WIN%

Pick: Under 9


Moneyline

There's no play on the moneyline.


Run Line (Spread)

There's no play on the run line.


Over/Under

Trust this system to target the over/under.


Royals vs Cubs Betting Trends


Royals vs Cubs Weather


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