Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, July 4

Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, July 4 article feature image
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Photo by John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images. Pictured: Eric Lauer

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Los Angeles Angels on July 4, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.

The Blue Jays begin this series on a high after sweeping the New York Yankees and taking over the top spot in the American League East Division. Toronto is 8-2 in their last 10 games.

Find my MLB betting preview and Angels vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction

  • Angels vs Blue Jays picks: Blue Jays moneyline (-165, BetMGM)

My Angels vs Blue Jays best bet is on the Blue Jays moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Angels vs Blue Jays Odds

Angels Logo
Friday, Jul 4
7:07 p.m. ET
Apple TV+
Blue Jays Logo
Angels Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-140
9.5
-105o / -115u
+140
Blue Jays Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+115
9.5
-105o / -115u
-165
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
BetMGM Logo

Angels vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Kyle Hendricks (LAA)StatLHP Eric Lauer (TOR)
5-6W-L4-1
0.7fWAR (FanGraphs)0.4
4.66/3.91ERA /xERA2.60/3.35
4.88/4.77FIP / xFIP3.89/4.15
1.30WHIP1.07
10.0K-BB%17.1
39.1GB%31.9
82Stuff+93
110Location+100

Angels vs Blue Jays Preview

The Blue Jays have won their last three series against the Cleveland Guardians, Boston Red Sox, and New York Yankees, sweeping the last one.

Today, Toronto will have Eric Lauer on the mound. The lefty is enjoying a career season so far in his first year as a Blue Jay, with a 2.60 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 9.00 K/9, and .206 average against.

The Angels rank 19th overall in wRC+ with 96 but are significantly worse against left-handed pitchers, such as Lauer, falling to 22nd in the majors with a wRC+ of only 82.

Lauer also has better stats at home, with a 2.25 ERA and 0.88 WHIP compared to his 2.79 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in road games.

The Blue Jays have the third-best offense in baseball since the start of June, with a 116 wRC+, and rank second in average (.271) and OBP (.338).

This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for Toronto's moneyline with its Quiet Confidence System.


Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Analysis

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Quiet Confidence System
the team's win percentage is between 50% and 100%
the game is played during the Regular season
the team's previous game margin is between 1 and 7
the team's moneyline in their previous game was between 100 and 171
the closing moneyline is between -235 and -125
the team’s home/away streak is between 2 and 8 games
$5,640
WON
326-161-0
RECORD
67%
WIN%

This system identifies winning teams that are performing steadily but not drawing overwhelming market attention.

It targets regular-season teams with at least a break-even win rate that are coming off a modest but positive result, having won their previous game by between one and seven runs. Their prior moneyline price indicates they weren’t heavy favorites—just expected to win.

When they return as moderate favorites again and have a consistent streak of games, either home or away, it suggests controlled momentum rather than volatility.

The setup capitalizes on teams that are undervalued by the public due to their lack of flashy blowouts or extreme winning streaks, offering value where confidence exceeds perception.

Pick: Blue Jays moneyline (-165, BetMGM)


Angels vs Blue Jays Betting Trends


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