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Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Thursday, June 11

Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Thursday, June 11 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Anna Carrington-Imagn Images
Pictured: Justin Wrobleski throws a pitch

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 11, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.

The Dodgers are favored by -162 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +136 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Dodgers vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction

  • Dodgers vs Pirates Pick: Over 9.5

My Dodgers vs Pirates best bet is for the game to finish with 10+ total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Dodgers vs Pirates Odds

Dodgers Logo
Thursday, Jun 11
6:40 p.m. ET
SportsNet LA
Pirates Logo
Dodgers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+104
9.5
-100o / -122u
-162
Pirates Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-125
9.5
-100o / -122u
+136
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Dodgers vs Pirates moneyline: Dodgers -162, Pirates +136
  • Dodgers vs Pirates over/under: 9.5 (-100o/-122u)
  • Dodgers vs Pirates spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+104), Pirates +1.5 (-125)

Dodgers vs Pirates Kalshi MLB Odds


Dodgers vs Pirates Probable Pitchers

Justin WrobleskiStatMitch Keller
7-2W-L5-3
1.7fWAR (FanGraphs)1.4
2.62 / 3.87ERA / xERA4.81 / 4.54
3.28 / 4.42FIP / xFIP3.60 / 4.22
10.9K-BB%10.5
37.7GB%39.4
.243BABIP.284
95Stuff+93
111Location+103

Dodgers vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview

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Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Dodgers (43-25) will try to take two of three in a road series against the Pirates. They're coming off a tough loss in which they blew a 6-1 lead after their bullpen allowed five runs and fell apart in the later innings.

Los Angeles will send out Justin Wrobleski tonight. The 25-year-old lefty has been a dependable innings eater for them, posting an impressive 2.62 ERA across 68.2 innings.

Wrobleski has allowed a combined one earned run over his last two starts, spanning 13 innings. He'll look to keep it rolling against the Pirates here.

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Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pirates (35-33) are trying to build off last night's comeback win, which snapped a four-game losing streak. Even though they won't have to face one of the Dodgers' aces tonight, they're still in a tough spot.

That's because Mitch Keller has been quite underwhelming this season, posting a 4.84 ERA across 73 innings.

The veteran right-hander has gotten rocked in each of his last two starts, allowing a combined 13 earned runs in eight innings during that stretch. That's bad news against a stacked Dodgers lineup.


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Dodgers vs Pirates Pick, Betting Analysis

I'm going with Over 9.5 runs in this Dodgers vs. Pirates matchup. Both teams have poured on runs in this series, combining for 15 and 17 runs in the first two games.

While Wrobleski has been effective, he allows a ton of balls in play, as highlighted by his abysmal 16.1% strikeout rate. His 4.51 SIERA is much higher than his 2.62 ERA, so he's ripe for regression. He's thrived on location, but this is a lefty with a well-below-average 95 Stuff+. It feels like it's only a matter of time before he gets hit hard again.

Then you have to consider that Keller has hit a major rough patch, allowing six and seven earned runs in his last two starts. It's hard to see him getting back on track against a star-studded Dodgers lineup.

With both bullpens also struggling in this series, that's the cherry on top. I'll ride with the Over here.

Pick: Over 9.5


Dodgers vs Pirates Weather


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Frank AmmiranteVerified Action Expert

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