Sunday MLB Algorithm Pick: Historically Profitable Betting Trend Prediction for Marlins vs. Dodgers (August 21)
Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
|Over/Under||7.5 (o -106 / -114)|
|Date||Sunday, August 21|
|Time||4:10 p.m. ET|
*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday morning.
This contest between the Dodgers and Marlins on Sunday has the Action Network’s betting algorithms and betting trends lighting up.
One side of the moneyline is beaming with value, according to our predictive models.
In addition, the spread for that same team fits a betting trend that has registered an 8% return on investment since 2005.
That’s eight cents in return for every dollar wagered over the past decade, on average.
If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit the betting system over that timeframe, you’d be up about $8,825 — or roughly $525 per year.
That’s over a lengthy sample size of about 1,100 games. Substantial data sets like this one, of course, ensure statistical significance.
This line fades the public heavily, according to the Action Network’s proprietary tracking data. And that’s exactly what this betting trend factors in — teams that have been undervalued in the market by retail bettors.
We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regards to gains over a long time horizon.
MLB Algorithm, Betting Trend Predictions for Sunday
Odds and betting data updated as of 8 a.m. ET.