The Atlanta Braves host the Miami Marlins on August 4, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BravesVsn.
The Braves are favored by -142 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +132 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Braves Prediction
- Marlins vs Braves Pick: Under 9 (-102)
My Marlins vs Braves best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Braves Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -172 | 9 -120o / -102u | +132 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +142 | 9 -120o / -102u | -142 |
- Marlins vs Braves moneyline: Marlins +132, Braves -142
- Marlins vs Braves over/under: 9 (-120o / -102u)
- Marlins vs Braves spread: Marlins +1.5 (-172), Braves -1.5 (+142)
Marlins vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| RHP Ryan Gusto (MIA) | Stat | RHP Grant Holmes (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | W-L | 6-4 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 5.31 / 4.65 | ERA / xERA | 3.88 / 4.80 |
| 3.84 / 4.27 | FIP / xFIP | 5.10 / 4.63 |
| 12.0% | K-BB% | 9.5% |
| 41.3% | GB% | 41.4% |
| .320 | BABIP | .262 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 98 | Location+ | 101 |
Marlins vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Marlins (58-55) just swept the Mets on the road and have now won six of their last seven games. This team is now only two games back of the Phillies and Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild Card spot.
They're sending out Ryan Gusto, who has a 4.65 xERA on the year. This feels like a game where they'll have to lean on their bullpen.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves (67-45) are starting to heat up, currently on a five-game winning streak. Taking on a Marlins team that has struggled on the road (24-32), this could be a spot where they keep it rolling.
Atlanta is sending out Grant Holmes, who has a 4.80 xERA. Like Gusto, Holmes is unlikely to go deep in this game. He's gone five innings or fewer in nine consecutive appearances.
Marlins vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
I'm taking Marlins/Braves Under 9. We're getting a high number because of the starting pitching matchup, but both teams have good bullpens that are completely fresh, as they had a day off yesterday.
Ryan Gusto has poor numbers, but he's not going to pitch more than five innings in this game, as his outs prop is at 14.5, juiced to the under at -121. That means the Marlins will rely on their bullpen here. That's good news for the under, since Miami's bullpen has a 3.83 xERA on the season (11th).
Grant Holmes has an ugly 4.80 xERA, but just like with Gusto, he's not going to pitch deep. His outs prop is at 15.5, juiced to the under at -153. As with the Marlins, the Braves have a good bullpen, putting up a 3.70 xERA this year, which ranks 5th in MLB.
So here we have a game that might be 3-2 or 4-2 after five innings, but then both bullpens come in and completely shut the door, hitting the under for us. In short, this is an attempt at capitalizing on a higher number due to the pitching matchup, taking advantage of two fresh and effective bullpens.
Pick: Under 9 (-102)
