The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins on August 1, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -132 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
- Marlins vs Mets Pick: Brett Baty Over 0.5 Singles (+140)
My Marlins vs Mets best bet is on Baty to record 1+ singles. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Mets Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +154 | 9 -105o / -115u | +110 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -185 | 9 -105o / -115u | -132 |
- Marlins vs Mets moneyline: Marlins +110, Mets -132
- Marlins vs Mets over/under: 9 (-105o / -115u)
- Marlins vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+154 ), Marlins +1.5 (-185)
Marlins vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Tyler Phillips | Stat | Zac Thornton |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 3.52 / 4.70 | ERA / xERA | 2.43 / 4.55 |
| 4.60 / 4.69 | FIP / xFIP | 3.20 / 3.86 |
| 6.9 | K-BB% | 13.6 |
| 45.8 | GB% | 40 |
| .270 | BABIP | .228 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 98 | Location+ | 94 |
Marlins vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Mets infielder Brett Baty for 0.69 singles in tonight's matchup against the Marlins, giving us an 8.2% edge against the market compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5. That's enough to tag the Over with a B- grade in our system.
Marlins vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
Baty’s recent form shows a growing stability at the plate that supports our model's edge. He has cleared this 0.5 singles mark in two of his past five games and a wider ten-game sample shows he has gone over this line four times, which reflects a steady floor when he is seeing regular plate appearances. With 50 hits on the season, Baty has maintained a solid contact rate that relies on putting the ball in play consistently rather than depending purely on high-velocity power swings.
Tonight’s matchup against Miami’s pitching staff creates a solid backdrop for that contact profile to pay off. Facing right-handed pitching gives Baty a clear platoon advantage where his line-drive and ground-ball spray charts skew heavily toward standard single-base territory. The Marlins’ pitching unit has struggled to keep left-handed hitters off the basepaths, leaving plenty of room for Baty to pull pitches through the right side of the infield or poke line drives into shallow outfield space.
With only one single required to cash this ticket, the current line underprices Baty's daily hit volume and contact profile in this matchup.
Pick: Brett Baty Over 0.5 Singles (+140)
