The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins on August 2, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Marlins are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
- Marlins vs Mets Pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 18.5 Outs (-110)
My Marlins vs Mets best bet is on Alcantara to record under 18.5 outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Mets Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -125 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +105 |
- Marlins vs Mets moneyline: Marlins -125, Mets +105
- Marlins vs Mets over/under: 8.5 (-120o / -100u)
- Marlins vs Mets spread: Marlins -1.5 (+140), Mets +1.5 (-165)
Marlins vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Sandy Alcantara | Stat | Robert Stock |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | W-L | Season debut |
| 2.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | |
| 3.82 / 3.77 | ERA / xERA | |
| 3.95 / 4.16 | FIP / xFIP | |
| 12.2 | K-BB% | |
| 44.5 | GB% | |
| .282 | BABIP | |
| 101 | Stuff+ | |
| 103 | Location+ |
Marlins vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Marlins vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 17.28 pitching outs for Sandy Alcantara, compared to 21.61 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 75% of the time, resulting in a 43% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value is $47.79. This play is good down to at least -216.
Pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 18.5 Outs (-110)
