The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Miami Marlins on June 14, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 12:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Peacock.
The Pirates are favored by -163 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +135 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Pirates Prediction
- Marlins vs Pirates Pick: Under 7.5 (-118 | Play to -125)
My Marlins vs Pirates best bet is Under 7.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Pirates Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -156 | 7.5 100o / -120u | +135 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +129 | 7.5 100o / -120u | -163 |
- Marlins vs Pirates moneyline: Marlins +135, Pirates -163
- Marlins vs Pirates over/under: 7.5 (+100 / -120)
- Marlins vs Pirates spread: Marlins +1.5 (-156), Pirates -1.5 (+129)
Marlins vs Pirates Probable Pitchers
| RHP Max Meyer (MIA) | Stat | RHP Paul Skenes (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-0 | W-L | 6-5 |
| 1.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.5 |
| 2.85 / 3.85 | ERA / xERA | 2.84 / 2.48 |
| 3.37 / 3.72 | FIP / xFIP | 2.54 / 2.98 |
| 17.5% | K-BB% | 24.4% |
| 40.9% | GB% | 43.5% |
| .253 | BABIP | .265 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 106 | Location+ | 112 |
Marlins vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The third overall pick in the 2020 MLB Draft, right-hander Max Meyer struggled to find his footing over his first few years in the majors. However, those struggles appear to be behind him in what has been a breakout season in 2026.
Through 14 starts, Meyer is 6-0 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally impressive.
Entering this matchup, the right-hander ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA and strikeout rate. This success is likely to continue against the Pittsburgh Pirates, a team Meyer has dominated.
In two meetings, Meyer owns a 1.42 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
A pitching duel is likely, as Pittsburgh hands the ball to right-hander Paul Skenes. One of the most highly regarded prospects in recent history, Skenes has exceeded expectations and is trending toward MLB greatness early in his career.
In 14 starts this season, Skenes has a 2.84 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP. His underlying metrics are even more impressive.
This season, the right-hander owns a 2.49 xERA and a .201 xBA. He also ranks in the 79th percentile in average exit velocity, 90th percentile in strikeout rate, 95th percentile in walk rate and 80th percentile in barrel rate.
Skenes has performed well against virtually every opponent, and the Miami Marlins are no exception. In two meetings, he is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP.
Marlins vs Pirates Pick, Betting Analysis
Miami has struggled to generate offense this season, ranking in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game. That is largely due to its lack of power, as the team ranks 24th in slugging percentage, 19th in OPS and 27th in home runs.
Pittsburgh’s lineup has been more productive, but this is a difficult matchup against Meyer. In 19 combined plate appearances against the right-hander, the current Pirates roster owns a .195 xBA and a .281 xSLG.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-118 | Play to -125)
