The Atlanta Braves host the Milwaukee Brewers on June 19, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BravesVsn.
The Brewers are favored by -186 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (-110) on the run line. The Braves are +156 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-110) on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Brewers vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Brewers vs Braves Prediction
- Brewers vs Braves Picks: William Contreras Hit + Brewers ML (-106) | Jackson Chourio HR (+420)
I have two Brewers vs Braves best bets. The first is a two-leg parlay: William Contreras to record a hit and the Brewers moneyline. The second is a long-shot home run pick on the red-hot Jackson Chourio. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Braves Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -186 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +156 |
- Brewers vs Braves moneyline: Brewers -186, Braves +156
- Brewers vs Braves over/under: 7.5 (-115o/-105u)
- Brewers vs Braves spread: Brewers -1.5 (-110), Braves +1.5 (-110)
Brewers vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| RHP Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) | Stat | LHP Martin Perez (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | W-L | 5-3 |
| 3.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 1.34 / 2.04 | ERA / xERA | 2.90 / 4.02 |
| 1.68 / 2.04 | FIP / xFIP | 3.82 / 3.91 |
| 33.1% | K-BB% | 12.2% |
| 46.4% | GB% | 46.7% |
| .230 | BABIP | .230 |
| 125 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 100 | Location+ | 102 |
Brewers vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
It's not a stretch to say that Jacob Misiorowski is putting together one of the most dominant first halves by a pitcher in MLB history.
The righty enters Friday fresh off a Maddux, allowing just one hit while striking out 15. He has allowed only one earned run since May and has a 0.17 ERA during that span. Among qualified pitchers, he ranks in the 98th percentile in xBA (.174), whiff rate (38.3%), strikeout rate (39.8%), and barrel rate allowed (2.4%).
The list of impressive numbers goes on and on, but the bottom line is simple: not even a video game could replicate the level of dominance Misiorowski is displaying right now.
As for the offense, Milwaukee has caught fire in June. Entering the month, the Brewers ranked 19th in wRC+ (94). Since then, they've surged to first (150 wRC+) hitting .301 with an MLB-best 11% walk rate on the month.
This roster is not star-studded from top to bottom, but it's a pesky offense that constantly forces long at-bats and rarely strikes out.
Headlining this offense has been Jackson Chourio, finally getting adjusted after missing the first month of the season due to injury. Since June 1st, the 22-year-old is hitting .385 with eight home runs and a 238 wRC+. During that stretch, only Pete Crow-Armstrong has a higher WAR (1.9 to Chourio's 1.4).
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
While the Brewers trot out a baby-faced 24-year-old flamethrower on Friday, the Braves counter with grizzled 35-year-old veteran Martín Pérez.
Unfortunately, due to a rain out on Thursday, we were robbed of an exciting pitcher duel between Misiorowski and Chris Sale. Instead, we get a lopsided pitching matchup that heavily favors Milwaukee.
Pérez has been an early-season magician, somehow escaping the inevitable: negative regression.
The southpaw owns a 2.90 ERA, but his xERA is over a run higher than actual (4.02). While he's managed to improve his underlying metrics from the previous couple of seasons, he is still struggling to generate whiffs. His hard-hit rate is around the same as last season, and he's benefitted from a .230 BABIP.
Pérez is a soft-tossing lefty who barely reaches 90 miles per hour with his sinker. He has been nearly unhittable at home, posting a 1.67 ERA across 27 innings, though that success feels more fluky than sustainable. As a whole this season, Pérez has a career-best 80.2% strand rate, almost 10% higher than his 15-year career average (71.3).
Atlanta's offense has also been trending down of late. Ronald Acuna Jr. is back on the injured list with a hamstring injury and remains a 'long way' from returning.
As a whole Atlanta is 27th in the month of June in wRC+ (81) and 28th in ISO (.133). While Matt Olson has continued to produce at his usual level, Austin Riley has struggled, hitting just .211 with a .647 OPS.
The Braves hope the return of Drake Baldwin can re-spark this Braves offense that was crushing the baseball before June. Through the first two months of the season, Atlanta ranked third in MLB with a 110 wRC+.
The reigning NL Rookie of the Year missed about a month with an oblique injury but returned with a bang, launching a 473-foot home run in his first at-bat.
It's also important to note that Michael Harris is battling a back injury. His status remains questionable ahead of Friday's game after missing Wednesday.
Brewers vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
It's always tough to lay a heavy moneyline price, especially on the road, but this is an extremely lopsided matchup. The Brewers opened -156 on open and have steamed up over night, per the Action Network app, now sitting around -190 at most sportsbooks.
I don't mind including Milwaukee in a two-leg parlay. Between the one-sided pitching matchup and the fact that both offenses trending in opposite directions, the Brewers should be in a strong position on the road. If you parlay the Brewers moneyline with William Contreras to record a hit, you can grab that parlay at -106.
Contreras owns an elite 12.8% strikeout rate and ranks in the 82nd percentile of all qualified hitters in xBA (.277). He is hitting .314 against southpaws this season and has enjoyed success against Pérez in a small sample, going 4-for-8 with three extra-base hits.
Of course, I can't leave you without giving a home run pick as well, so let's roll with the red-hot Chourio. This is a plus matchup for all of the Brewers, but specifically Contreras and Chourio. The latter of the two has hit .349 with a .982 OPS against left-handed pitching this season.
Chourio's career-best 15% barrel rate is nothing to marvel at. He is absolutely tattooing the baseball of late, with six home runs in his last eight games. I'll happily bet the red-hot Chourio north of 4-to-1.
Pick: William Contreras Hit + Brewers ML (-106) | Jackson Chourio HR (+420)
