The Detroit Tigers host the Minnesota Twins on June 11, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Tigers are favored by -131 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +109 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Tigers Prediction
- Twins vs Tigers Pick: Zebby Matthews Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-129)
My Twins vs Tigers best bet is on Zebby Matthews to record five or more strikeouts this afternoon. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Tigers Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -186 | 9.5 -105o / -114u | +109 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +153 | 9.5 -105o / -114u | -131 |
- Twins vs Tigers moneyline: Twins +109, Tigers -131
- Twins vs Tigers over/under: 9.5 (-105o / -114u)
- Twins vs Tigers spread: Twins +1.5 (-186), Tigers -1.5 (+153)
Twins vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| Zebby Matthews (RHP, MIN) | Stat | Keider Montero (RHP, DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 2-4 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 4.15 / 3.55 | ERA / xERA | 3.95 / 3.80 |
| 4.52 / 4.20 | FIP / xFIP | 4.17 / 4.90 |
| 14.8 | K-BB% | 10.6 |
| 38.8 | GB% | 34.5 |
| .247 | BABIP | .227 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 100 | Location+ | 102 |
Twins vs Tigers MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Twins starter Zebby Matthews is coming off a season-low of two strikeouts, but had struck out at least five in each of his previous four starts and only once with a SwStr rate below 11%.
Matthews has faced between 22 and 27 batters in his five starts, hitting 100 pitches exactly three times and completing six innings in four of his starts. These are some favorable workload tendencies.
The projected Tigers lineup (I’ve projected Dillon Dingler to DH and Jake Rogers to catch) averages a 22.8 K% against RHP since last season. This includes three batters (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson and Rogers) above 28%.
Combining the park and forecasted weather effects in Detroit on Thursday gives us a neutral strikeout effect, but the scheduled umpire, Ryan Additon, averages a 5% bump, which could work out to an extra quarter to a third of a strikeout.
I have Matthews projected for closer to six strikeouts than five and find slight value on his current price of over 4.5 -140. I would not play this above -150 and would need at least +130 if it moved to 5.5.
Pick: Zebby Matthews Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-129, DraftKings | Play to -150)
