It's Friday, and we're back to a full 15-game slate. With lots of great spots to bet on, I'm bringing you some bangers for tonight's MLB action.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:05 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 8:10 PM | |
  | 8:15 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Braves vs Yankees Prediction, Pick
The spot here is an above-average one, making the odds far too high on Ben Rice.
Braves starter Tyler Mahle is a reverse-splits pitcher, but has been an above-average matchup for lefty power in his career, allowing a 1.23 HR/9.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefties with power. The weather is a bit of a concern, but if the game is postponed, then the bet will just void.
I have the true odds on the Yankees DH at around +300.
Pick: Ben Rice Home Run
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Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Pick
The odds for Jo Adell are a bit too low given the spot today. White SP Noah Schultz has been a well-above-average matchup for righty power this season, allowing a 1.4 HR/9.
The weather and ballpark are around neutral for hitting, and although Adell has had a rough season so far, the power is still there.
I have the true odds on the Guardians RF at around +330.
Pick: Jo Adell Home Run
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Cubs vs Royals Prediction, Pick
The spot here is a good one, and the odds on Seiya Suzuki are far too high.
Royals starter Daniel Lynch has suppressed power at a good rate this season, but he's due for some massive negative regression and has historically allowed a 1.43 HR/9 to righties.
The ballpark is a slight downgrade, but the weather is a plus for hitting.
I have the true odds on the Cubs RF at around +375.
Pick: Seiya Suzuki Home Run
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Orioles vs Rangers Prediction, Pick
The spot here isn't anything special for Pete Alonso, but the price is far too high.
Rangers SP Nathan Eovaldi has been a gas can for power this season, allowing a 1.87 HR/9, and although he's due for some regression, he still grades out as a positive matchup for righty power.
The ballpark is one of the worst in the league for power, but Pete Alonso is one of the best home run hitters in the league.
I have the true odds on the Orioles 1B at around +420.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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Astros vs Padres Prediction, Pick
The spot here is a good one for Christian Walker, and the odds are too high.
Padres starter Robbie Ray has been an above-average matchup for right power this season, allowing a 1.37 HR/9, and is due for some negative regression with him no longer pitching in SF.
Walker has slowed down after his hot start to the season, but the power is still there.
I have the true odds for the Astros 1B at around +360.
Pick: Christian Walker Home Run
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