Today we have an 11-game MLB slate and we'll target four matchups.
I'm bringing you bangers for Guardians vs. Orioles (1:35 p.m ET), Cubs vs. Brewers (2:10 p.m ET), Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10 p.m. ET) and Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05 p.m. ET).
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:35 PM | |
  | 2:10 PM | |
  | 8:10 PM | |
  | 10:05 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction, Pick
This is an average spot, which is more than enough to justify Big Meat Pete at this price.
Joey Cantillo grades out as an average matchup for righty power, and the weather in Baltimore should be right around average.
Alonso is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and I have the true odds here around +380, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
| | | |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, Pick
I have no idea why Bregman is priced this high, but I'm not going to argue.
This is a plus spot vs. Robert Gasser, who has allowed a massive 1.76 HR/9 to righties this season and a 1.31 HR/9 in his career.
Bregman has been one of the best HR hitters in the league since the All-Star Break, and I have the true odds here around +600.
Pick: Alex Bregman Home Run
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Cardinals vs Giants Prediction, Pick
This spot isn't anything special, but getting these odds for Devers is just silly.
Michael McGreevy has been a plus matchup for lefty power in his career, allowing a 1.40 HR/9.
This ballpark is probably the worst in the league for power, but Devers has been the hottest hitter in baseball recently.
I have the true odds here under +400.
Pick: Rafael Devers Home Run
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Cardinals vs Athletics Prediction, Pick
The spot here is a great one of the Toronto Righties and the odds are a bit too high.
Lopez has been a gas can for righty power this season, allowing a massive 1.78 HR/9.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power and the weather is decent with temps in the mid 80s.
Okamoto is a great power bat and I have the true odds around +320, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Kazuma Okamoto Home Run
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