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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Yankees vs Twins, A’s vs Rays, Mariners vs Angels, More for Wednesday, September 16

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Yankees vs Twins, A’s vs Rays, Mariners vs Angels, More for Wednesday, September 16 article feature image
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Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images. Pictured: Yankees slugger Aaron Judge

We have an all-day, 15-game MLB slate on Wednesday, with plenty of home run picks.

I'm bringing you bangers for up to six matchups, including Yankees vs. Twins (1:40 p.m ET), Athletics vs. Rays (6:40 p.m ET), and Mariners vs. Angels (9:38 p.m. ET).

Read on for my 6 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.

GameTime (ET)Pick
New York Yankees LogoMinnesota Twins Logo
1:40 PM
Detroit Tigers LogoToronto Blue Jays Logo
3:07 PM
Oakland Athletics LogoTampa Bay Rays Logo
6:40 PM
Milwaukee Brewers LogoPittsburgh Pirates Logo
6:40 PM
Baltimore Orioles LogoNew York Mets Logo
7:10 PM
Seattle Mariners LogoLos Angeles Angels Logo
9:38 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Yankees vs Twins Prediction, Pick

New York Yankees Logo
Wednesday, Sept. 16
1:40 PM ET
YES
Minnesota Twins Logo
Aaron Judge Home Run
FanDuel Logo

While the weather is a downgrade in this game, that's not nearly enough to get me off Aaron Judge in this spot.

Twins starter Zebby Matthews has been a gas can for power this season, allowing a high 1.66 HR/9 to righties.

Judge finally got one last night after struggling in his first five games back, but he's the best home run hitter in the league. I have the true odds for the Yankees RF at under +300.

Pick: Aaron Judge Home Run



Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick

Detroit Tigers Logo
Wednesday, Sept. 16
3:07 PM ET
MLB.TV
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Kevin McGonigle Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is a great spot for Kevin McGonigle, and these odds are way too high.

Max Scherzer has been better recently, but he's still been a gas can for lefty power this season (1.99 HR/9). While the Blue Jays SP has only allowed a few dingers since the All-Star Break, he's gotten very lucky and is due for heavy negative regression.

I have the true odds for the Tigers 3B at around +450.

Pick: Kevin McGonigle Home Run



Athletics vs Rays Prediction, Pick

Oakland Athletics Logo
Wednesday, Sept. 16
6:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
Junior Caminero Home Run
FanDuel Logo

We don't have a huge sample size of Athletics starter Brady Basso in the majors, but he's been an average matchup for righty power and grades out around a 1.50 HR/9 pitcher to righties.

I don't love this ballpark, but Junior Caminero is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the Rays 3B at under +300.

Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run



Brewers vs Pirates Prediction, Pick

Milwaukee Brewers Logo
Wednesday, Sept. 16
6:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
Brandon Lowe Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is a tough spot overall, but it's a good spot for lefty power, so Brandon Lowe can take advantage.

Brewers SP Logan Henderson is great, but he's an extreme fly-ball pitcher and has allowed an above-average 1.26 HR/9 to lefties this season.

This ballpark isn't great for power, but the weather should be above average for hitting, with temperatures in the low-80s and heavy humidity.

I have the true odds for the Pirates 2B at around +420.

Pick: Brandon Lowe Home Run



Orioles vs Mets Prediction, Pick

Baltimore Orioles Logo
Wednesday, Sept. 16
7:10 PM ET
ESPN
New York Mets Logo
Juan Soto Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is a great spot, and these odds are far too high.

Orioles starter Chris Bassitt has been a gas can for lefty power for years, allowing more than a 1.50 HR/9 since 2023.

The weather in New York should be a plus for hitting, with wind blowing out at 8 mph, and Juan Soto is one of the best home run hitters in the league.

I have the true odds for the Mets LF at around +270.

Pick: Juan Soto Home Run



Mariners vs Angels Prediction, Pick

Seattle Mariners Logo
Wednesday, Sept. 16
9:38 PM ET
MLB.TV
Los Angeles Angels Logo
Randy Arozarena Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is a great spot, and these odds are a bit too high.

Angels SP Yusei Kikuchi hasn't been horrible at suppressing righty power this season, but historically, he's been a matchup that is well above average for righty power.

Randy Arozarena has been one of the best HR hitters in the league since the All-Star Break, and I have the true odds for the Mariners LF at around +400.

Pick: Randy Arozarena Home Run



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Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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