For Friday, June 13, I'm on four MLB home run props: Jo Adell (against the Orioles), Gunnar Henderson (against the Angels), Ronald Acuna Jr. (against the Rockies), and Pete Alonso (against the Mets).
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Friday night.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Friday, June 13
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:08 p.m. | |
| 7:08 p.m. | |
| 7:10 p.m. | |
| 7:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for June 13
Jo Adell (+600)
at Orioles (SP: RHP Charlie Morton)
The amount of value on the Angels–Orioles game today is massive.
The righties get a great matchup against Charlie Morton, who has been hit hard by RHHs this season, giving up 1.73 HR/9 to go along with a low K rate.
While he's likely due for some positive regression, he still grades out as a plus matchup.
The weather should be great for hitting, with a 13.8% increase to HRs according to WeatherEdge. Add in that the Orioles' bullpen is one of the best in the league for homers, and this is a great spot.
Jo Adell has massive amounts of pop and has been hot recently, with six homers already this month, and I have the true odds here more than 100 points lower.
Gunnar Henderson (+333)
vs. Angels (SP: RHP Jack Kochanowicz)
Camden Yards is one of the best in the league for lefty power, and weather should be great, with temps in the low 80s and good humidity. WeatherEdge is giving it a 13.8% increase to HRs.
Gunnar Henderson has a plus matchup against Jack Kochanowicz, as the right-hander been absolutely crushed by lefties this season (2.29 HR/9 to go along with high fly-ball and hard-contact numbers).
Henderson doesn't have a lot of homers on the season, but he has a ton of pop, and these odds are a bit too high.
Pete Alonso (+350)
vs. Rays (SP: RHP Taj Bradley)
Pete Also gets a great spot tonight, and these odds are far too high.
Rays starter Taj Bradley is a big reverse-splits pitcher and has been crushed by righty power in his career, giving up 1.94 HR/9 to go along with high fly-ball and hard-contact numbers.
The weather isn't going to be great in New York, but Alonso has been in great form this month, with 6 home runs already.
I have the true odds here 80 points lower, making this a great bet.
Ronald Acuna Jr. (+375)
vs. Rockies (SP: RHP German Marquez)
Ronald Acuna Jr. has been great since coming back from injury, with 6 HRs in 18 games, and this spot is great.
Rockies right-hander German Marquez is not a good pitcher at this point in his career, and although he hasn't allowed many long balls to righties, he's due for some negative regression.
The weather should be great for hitting in Atlanta, with temps in the 80s.
The Rockies' bullpen is one of the worst in the league, so Acuna should be going up against duds all game long.
I have the true odds here around +300.
