For Wednesday, June 11, I'm on four MLB home run props: Mike Trout (against the Athletics), Nick Kurtz (against the Angels), Ketel Marte (against the Mariners), and Kerry Carpenter (against the Orioles).
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Wednesday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Wednesday, June 11
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 3:40 p.m. | |
| 4:07 p.m. | |
| 4:07 p.m. | |
| 6:35 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for June 11
Ketel Marte (+500)
vs. Mariners (SP: RHP Bryan Woo)
Ketel Marte has been absolutely fantastic this season for the Diamondbacks and he's been hot recently.
The spot is a good one going up against Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo, who has been crushed by lefties this season with a 1.78 HR/9 to go along with a career 1.59 HR/9.
I have the true odds over 100 points lower today, making this a great EV bet.
Nick Kurtz (+440)
at Angels (SP: RHP Kyle Hendricks)
Athletics rookie slugger Nick Kurtz is back in the lineup and the spot here is a great one.
Angels starter Kyle Hendricks is beyond past his prime and is a well-above-average matchup for righty power.
Kurtz has been great after a slow start to his MLB career, hitting four home runs in five games prior to getting injured.
I expect him to pick up where he left off soon enough and the odds today are just too juicy.
Mike Trout (+300)
vs. Athletics (SP: LHP JP Sears)
The Angels' Mike Trout is still one of the best home run hitters in the league and he's in a good spot today.
Athletics left-hander JP Sears has been hammered by righty power this season, allowing 1.98 HR/9 this season; he owns a 1.61 HR/9 against righties in his career despite mostly playing in a very pitcher friendly ballpark prior to this season.
I have the true odds on Trout around +260 today.
Kerry Carpenter (+350)
at Orioles (SP: RHP Zach Eflin)
Tigers outfielder Kerry Carpenter has been a little cold since hammering three homers in a game a week ago — but the power is still there and the spot is too good.
Carpenter gets a matchup against Orioles right-hander Zach Eflin, who has been hammered by lefties this season (2.67 HR/9).
Camden Yards is great for lefty power and the weather is great for hitting with temps in the high 80s during gametime.
I have the true odds on Carpenter under +300 today, making this a great EV bet.
