Orioles vs. Rays MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Monday’s Biggest Betting Model Edge Focused On Total (August 16)

Orioles vs. Rays MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Monday’s Biggest Betting Model Edge Focused On Total (August 16) article feature image
Credit:

Kathryn Riley/Getty Images. Pictured: Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Collin McHugh.

  • With the combination of a strong Tampa Bay bullpen and a woeful Baltimore offense, it is easy to see the perfect storm for the under brewing.
  • Let's take a closer look at the total in our latest MLB PRO Report.

Orioles vs. Rays Odds

Orioles Odds +222
Rays Odds -272
Over/Under 8.5  (-125/+105)
Time 7:10 p.m. ET
TV BSSUN

The Orioles head to Tropicana Field to take on the Rays on Monday night. Baltimore is in the midst of a league-leading (tied with the Chicago Cubs as of this writing) 11-game losing streak.

Throughout the streak, the Orioles have absolutely fizzled out on the offensive end.

Yes, the Orioles have given up quite a few runs over this horrendous stretch, but it is especially noteworthy that they have produced five runs over their last three games, a rate of 1.67 runs per game that would be historically bad if extrapolated over a full season.

This season, Tampa Bay has been great and currently sits 3.0 games ahead of the surging Red Sox and 5.5 games ahead of the Yankees. The Rays have an offense that can produce numbers. Tampa Bay enters Monday night ranked third in runs and just outside of the top-10 in slugging percentage.

The Rays will have Collin McHugh open the game on the mound for them with the bullpen slated to pull the majority of Monday night’s work. Nonetheless, McHugh is 4-1 with an outstanding 1.41 ERA this season.

With the combination of a strong Tampa Bay bullpen and a woeful Baltimore offense, it is easy to see the perfect storm for the under brewing. Let’s take a closer look at the total in our latest MLB PRO Report.

MLB Picks: Orioles vs. Rays

MLB PRO Report: Orioles-Rays (August 17)

Big Money 

At the time of this writing, the 44% of bettors backing the under have generated 74% of the money wagered on Monday’s total.

This 30% difference is a sign that the biggest bets—the ones likely to be made by wise bettors—are being placed on the under.

Model Projections

The Action Network’s Model Projections make Monday’s Orioles vs. Rays total 7.97.

Top Experts

One of The Action Network’s top MLB experts is betting on the under.

PRO Report Pick: Under 8.5 (+105 at PointsBet)

How would you rate this article?