The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets on August 12, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BravesVsn.
The Braves are favored by -160 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +145 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Mets vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
- Mets vs Braves Pick: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits (+180)
Our Mets vs Braves best bet is on Bo Bichette to record over 1.5 hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Braves Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +145 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -160 |
- Mets vs Braves moneyline: Mets +145, Braves -160
- Mets vs Braves over/under: 8.5 (-120o / +100u)
- Mets vs Braves spread: Braves -1.5 (+140), Mets +1.5 (-165)
Mets vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| Zac Thornton (LHP, NYM) | Stat | Tyler Mahle (RHP, ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | W-L | 3-9 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 2.52/4.60 | ERA / xERA | 4.83/4.02 |
| 3.69/4.24 | FIP / xFIP | 4.17/4.02 |
| 9.8% | K-BB% | 13.8% |
| 40.5% | GB% | 42.0% |
| .245 | BABIP | .307 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 93 | Location+ | 109 |
Mets vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets square off Wednesday evening in a rubber match to determine who takes their three-game divisional series.
Atlanta comes in sitting atop the NL East with a 72-48 record, driven largely by a dominant 40-21 mark on home turf and a team slugging percentage of .418 that ranks fourth across Major League Baseball.
New York has struggled to find consistency at 53-68 overall and 28-34 on the road, though they have notably held the upper hand in the head-to-head matchup this season, leading the series 7-5 through 12 meetings.
Home runs have been a deciding factor for the Mets, who hold a dismal 26-47 record in games where their pitching staff surrenders at least one fly ball over the fence.
The pitching matchup features young left-hander Zach Thornton making the start for New York against veteran right-hander Tyler Mahle for Atlanta.
Thornton enters with a sharp 3-2 record, a 2.52 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, and 27 strikeouts, having held opponents scoreless in three of his past five outings.
The Braves counter with Mahle (3-9, 4.83 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 98 strikeouts), who delivered an immediate impact in his team debut last Friday following his deadline acquisition by firing six shutout innings against the New York Yankees.
Mets vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
The top prop value on the board for this series finale centers on New York Mets shortstop Bo Bichette to clear Over 1.5 Hits.
Action PRO projects Bichette for 1.68 hits against the Braves pitching staff, creating a substantial 14.4% edge against current lines.
Getting a multi-hit performance at +180 plus-money pricing offers an exceptional return relative to his true projection.
While Bichette recorded zero hits and one hit in the first two installments of this series, his overall momentum at the plate remains exceptionally strong.
Just a few days ago on August 9, he delivered a masterpiece against Pittsburgh, going a perfect 5-for-5 with a bases-clearing double, three RBIs, and three runs scored to fuel an 11-1 blowout win.
With his proven ability to stack hits in bunches and a favorable model projection, back Bichette to record at least two hits.
Pick: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits (+180)
