The New York Yankees host the New York Mets on September 12, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Yankees are favored by -191 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +157 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
- Mets vs Yankees Pick: Gerrit Cole Under 17.5 Outs (+118)
My Mets vs Yankees best bet is on Gerrit Cole to record under 17.5 pitching outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Mets vs Yankees Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -143 | 8 -113o / -106u | +157 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +119 | 8 -113o / -106u | -191 |
- Mets vs Yankees moneyline: Mets +157, Yankees -191
- Mets vs Yankees over/under: 8 (-113o / -106u)
- Mets vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (+119), Mets +1.5 (-143)
Mets vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| Zac Thornton (LHP, NYM) | Stat | Gerrit Cole (RHP, NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 8-8 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.2 |
| 3.53/4.68 | ERA / xERA | 3.41/3.67 |
| 4.48/3.92 | FIP / xFIP | 3.70/3.72 |
| 13.5% | K-BB% | 20.1% |
| 39.8% | GB% | 34.4% |
| .282 | BABIP | .274 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 95 | Location+ | 106 |
Mets vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview, Expert Pick
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 15.45 pitching outs for Gerrit Cole compared to 17.50 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 65% of the time, resulting in a 42% ROI.
Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $42.25.
This play is good down to at least -146.
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Pick: Gerrit Cole Under 17.5 Outs (+118)
