The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Mets on August 31, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on RAYS.
The Rays are favored by -170 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +149 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Rays Prediction
- Mets vs Rays Pick: Mets Team Total Over 3.5 | Over 8
My Mets vs Rays best bets are the Mets team total over and the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Rays Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 8 -110o / -110u | +156 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 8 -110o / -110u | -168 |
- Mets vs Rays moneyline: Mets +149, Rays -170
- Mets vs Rays over/under: 8 (-110o / -110u)
- Mets vs Rays spread: Rays -1.5 (+124 ), Mets +1.5 (-149)
Mets vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| Robert Stock (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Ian Seymour (LHP, TBR) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | W-L | 9-5 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 7.40/5.03 | ERA / xERA | 4.21/3.59 |
| 4.63/5.27 | FIP / xFIP | 4.01/3.57 |
| 7.7% | K-BB% | 21.5% |
| 39.1% | GB% | 31.4% |
| .385 | BABIP | .274 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 96 | Location+ | 101 |
Mets vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
Over at MLB Data Warehouse, I have a model that looks at hitter performance against the pitch movement profiles of the starting pitcher they're facing tonight. You get a pretty good picture of how each collection of nine hitters lines up against the starter that night from the data.
And the number one offense on the board tonight is surprisingly the Mets against Ian Seymour. Lindor, Soto, Bichette, Alvarez, Ewing, and Semien all look very good against lefties like Seymour. We have also seen Seymour slip a bit lately. He's leaving some meatballs in the zone, and he's given up six homers in his last three starts.
For all of the Mets' struggles this year, their current lineup looks pretty good. The slow starts have been corrected, and Juan Soto is back in that lineup.
I'm trusting the data here and riding some Mets runs. The Rays bullpen is a problem, but this Mets team total is just 3.5 with the over at +100. That feels like a line that should move to -125 or something as the day goes, if not tick up to 4.5.
Second on this list is the Rays against Robert Stock. Stock has some decent stuff, but he does not locate it well, and he's been hit hard in the Majors this year. The Mets bullpen has also been depleted by injury and the trade deadline, so this game has some sneaky run-scoring potential.
Pick: Mets Team Total Over 3.5 (-105) | Over 8 (-110)
