The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Mets on September 1, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Rays are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Rays Prediction
- Mets vs Rays Pick: Francisco Lindor Home Run (+600)
My Mets vs Rays best bet is on Francisco Lindor to hit a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Rays Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 8 -110o / -110u | +110 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 8 -110o / -110u | -130 |
- Mets vs Rays moneyline: Mets +110, Rays -130
- Mets vs Rays over/under: 8 (-110o / -110u)
- Mets vs Rays spread: Rays -1.5 (+165), Mets +1.5 (-200)
Mets vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| Sean Manaea (LHP, NYM) | Stat | Freddy Peralta (RHP, TBR) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | W-L | 6-11 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 4.55/4.82 | ERA / xERA | 5.11/3.98 |
| 4.57/4.24 | FIP / xFIP | 4.52/4.33 |
| 15.0% | K-BB% | 12.7% |
| 38.4% | GB% | 39.2% |
| .301 | BABIP | .304 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 97 | Location+ | 105 |
Mets vs Rays MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
The spot here is a great one and the odds are a bit too high.
Freddy Peralta has struggled heavily this season allowing a large 1.57 HR/9.
The ballpark is below average, but Francisco Lindor is still a well above average power bat and I have the true odds around +500 making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Francisco Lindor Home Run (+600)
