Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, June 18

Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, June 18 article feature image
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Pictured: Trevor Rogers. (Credit: Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images)

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday, June 18, 2025. First pitch from George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.

Find my Orioles vs Rays prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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Orioles vs Rays Prediction

  • Orioles vs Rays Pick: Under 9.5 (-130)

My Rays vs. Orioles best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Orioles vs Rays Odds

Orioles Logo
Wednesday, Jun 18
7:35 p.m. ET
FDSSUN
Rays Logo
Orioles Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+155
9
-120o / 100u
-102
Rays Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-190
9
-120o / 100u
-118
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Orioles vs Rays Projected Pitchers

LHP Trevor Rogers (BAL)StatRHP Taj Bradley (TB)
0-0W-L4-5
0.2fWAR (FanGraphs)0.7
0.00/2.12ERA /xERA4.35/3.50
1.96/3.56FIP / xFIP4.32/4.06
0.32WHIP1.28
22.7K-BB%11.5
43.8GB%50.2
94Stuff+99
113Location+90

Orioles vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis

The Orioles and Rays square off Wednesday in game three of their four-game series at George M. Steinbrenner Field. After Tampa Bay opened with a 7-1 win Monday, Baltimore bounced back Tuesday with a 5-1 victory that was highlighted by a trio of clutch two-out hits and a strong bullpen performance.

Oddsmakers have set the total at 9.5 runs, with Baltimore at -102 on the moneyline.

Trevor Rogers is set to make just his second start for the Orioles after a strong debut against Boston on May 24. On the other side, Taj Bradley will take the mound for the Rays.

That setup fits Evan Abrams’ “Unders with Soft Starters and Neutral Winds” system. This model targets the third or fourth game of a regular-season series in which neither starter is overpowering — typically pitchers with lower strikeout rates and average WHIP figures. With no strong winds to drive the ball, and hitters settling into the grind of the series, scoring tends to stagnate.

The current conditions check all the boxes: neutral wind, average velocity arms and a matchup in the midseason slog. Despite two talented lineups, this is the kind of environment where runs often come at a premium.

Pick: Under 9.5 (-130)


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