The Cincinnati Reds host the San Diego Padres on June 28, 2025. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSOH.
Find my MLB betting preview and Padres vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Padres vs Reds Prediction
- Padres vs Reds picks: Reds Moneyline -151
My Padres vs Reds best bet is the Reds moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Odds, Spread
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -163 | 9.5 -105o / -116u | +124 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +133 | 9.5 -105o / -116u | -151 |
- Padres vs Reds Moneyline: Padres +124, Reds -151
- Padres vs Reds Total: 9.5 (-105o / -116u)
- Padres vs Reds Spread: Padres +1.5 (-163), Reds -1.5 (+133)
- Padres vs Reds Best Bet: Reds moneyline -151
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| Randy Vasquez (SDP) | Stat | Andrew Abbott (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | W-L | 7-1 |
| -0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 3.60/5.72 | ERA /xERA | 1.79/2.95 |
| 5.52/5.68 | FIP / xFIP | 3.39/4.03 |
| 1.33 | WHIP | 0.97 |
| 2.3 | K-BB% | 17.6 |
| 40 | GB% | 30.5 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 98 | Location+ | 101 |
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
This MLB betting system targets steady, winning teams in the regular season that consistently deliver results without drawing heavy public attention. It focuses on teams with at least a .500 record coming off a modest win—by 1 to 7 runs—signaling a solid but not dominant performance.
These teams were previously priced as moderate favorites, indicating market expectations were realistic, not inflated. When they return as similar favorites and remain on a stable home or road stretch, it points to controlled momentum rather than streak-driven volatility.
This setup values teams that are quietly reliable—often overlooked by the public in favor of flashier matchups—creating opportunities where performance outpaces perception.
Pick: Reds moneyline
Moneyline
Take the Reds on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no value on the run line.
Over/Under
There is no play on the spread.
