The Baltimore Orioles host the Philadelphia Phillies on July 31, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Phillies are favored by -115 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction
- Phillies vs Orioles Pick: Phillies ML
My Phillies vs Orioles best bet is on Philadelphia to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Orioles Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 9 -112o / -105u | -105 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -187 | 9 -112o / -105u | -115 |
- Phillies vs Orioles moneyline: Phillies -105, Orioles -115
- Phillies vs Orioles over/under: 9 (-112o / -105u)
- Phillies vs Orioles spread: Phillies -1.5 (+155), Orioles +1.5 (-187)
Phillies vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| TBD | Stat | RHP Brandon Young (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| – | W-L | 8-2 |
| – | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| – | ERA / xERA | 3.13 / 4.09 |
| – | FIP / xFIP | 3.74 / 4.40 |
| – | K-BB% | 11.1% |
| – | GB% | 41.9% |
| – | BABIP | .285 |
| – | Stuff+ | 96 |
| – | Location+ | 105 |
Phillies vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies come into this matchup with a 57-52 record and are 29-25 on the road. One player to watch is Kyle Schwarber, who has enjoyed plenty of success against Baltimore, collecting six home runs, 15 RBIs, and a 1.023 OPS in 20 career games against the Orioles.
Schwarber has consistently produced against this opponent, giving the Phillies another reason to feel confident heading into this series.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Baltimore Orioles, meanwhile, are 53-56 on the season and 29-27 at home. Brandon Young has been one of the team's hottest pitchers lately, posting a 2.21 ERA with 18 strikeouts over his last three appearances.
Another storyline to watch is Pete Alonso, who has driven in 62 runs against the Phillies since 2019 — the most by any player over that span. His track record against Philadelphia makes him a key bat in this matchup.
Phillies vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis
In Major League Baseball, road underdogs playing interleague games have historically been undervalued by oddsmakers.
Since 2016, despite winning only 43.3% of these games, these teams have generated a consistent positive ROI of 4.6%. This trend has proven reliable across five consecutive seasons, indicating market inefficiencies in how these specific matchups are priced — likely due to lack of familiarity between leagues and public overconfidence in home and favorite teams.
In interleague play, road underdogs have proven profitable on the money line recently. They have only a 43.3% win percentage, but those teams have turned a 4.6% ROI for bettors since 2016 and have been profitable in five consecutive seasons.
Pick: Phillies Moneyline
