The Baltimore Orioles host the Philadelphia Phillies on August 2, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Phillies are favored by -128 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction
- Phillies vs Orioles Pick: Under 8 (-115 | Play to -120)
My Phillies vs Orioles best bet is Under 8. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Orioles Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +126 | 7.5 -124o / 102u | -128 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -152 | 7.5 -124o / 102u | +120 |
- Phillies vs Orioles moneyline: Phillies -128, Orioles +120
- Phillies vs Orioles over/under: 7.5 (-124o / -102u)
- Phillies vs Orioles spread: Phillies -1.5 (+126), Orioles +1.5 (-152)
Phillies vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Zack Wheeler (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Kyle Bradish (RHP, BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-2 | W-L | 7-9 |
| 2.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| 2.53 / 2.64 | ERA / xERA | 3.74 / 4.00 |
| 3.08 / 2.74 | FIP / xFIP | 3.86 / 3.97 |
| 25.3% | K-BB% | 12.4% |
| 44.8% | GB% | 47.7% |
| .251 | BABIP | .302 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 107 | Location+ | 101 |
Phillies vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Right-hander Zack Wheeler takes the mound for the Phillies and should be a good candidate to back. One of the best pitchers in baseball this decade, Wheeler is once again in the NL Cy Young conversation.
Through 17 starts, the right-hander is 10-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. His underlying metrics are, unsurprisingly, equally impressive.
Entering this matchup, Wheeler ranks in the 96th percentile in xERA, 90th percentile in xBA, 90th percentile in average exit velocity and 95th percentile in strikeout rate. However, run support may be difficult to come by.
This season, Philadelphia ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage and OPS.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Phillies' woes at the dish are likely to continue against right-hander Kyle Bradish, who gets the ball for the Orioles. In 35 combined plate appearances against Bradish, this current Philadelphia roster owns a mere .188 batting average.
Bradish has also pitched well this season. Through 21 starts, he owns a 3.74 ERA.
The right-hander also ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. However, similar to Wheeler, run support remains a question.
Phillies vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis
Baltimore has struggled at the plate this year. Entering this matchup, it ranks 23rd in hits per game, 23rd in batting average, 21st in slugging percentage and 18th in OPS.
Like most teams, going against Wheeler is likely going to be an issue. Through 75 combined plate appearances against the right-hander, this current Orioles roster owns a .214 xBA.
Pick: Under 8 (-115 | Play to -120)
