The Washington Nationals host the Philadelphia Phillies on September 16, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NATS.
The Phillies are favored by -190 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +160 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
- Phillies vs Nationals Pick: Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hitter Walks (+290)
My Phillies vs Nationals best bet is on the Brandon Marsh hitter walks prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Phillies vs Nationals Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -190 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +160 |
- Phillies vs Nationals moneyline: Phillies -190, Nationals +160
- Phillies vs Nationals over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Phillies vs Nationals spread: Phillies -1.5 (-110), Nationals +1.5 (-110)
Phillies vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| Zack Wheeler (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Jared Simpson (LHP, WSN) |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 3.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 3.14/3.04 | ERA / xERA | 6.75/4.12 |
| 3.54/3.11 | FIP / xFIP | 3.35/4.11 |
| 22.1% | K-BB% | 7.1% |
| 42.6% | GB% | 28.6% |
| .267 | BABIP | .000 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 106 | Location+ | 79 |
Phillies vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.50 walks for Brandon Marsh. Oddsmakers are implying 0.30 walks, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 41% of the time resulting in a 54% ROI with expected value of $54.20 (based on a $100 wager).
This play is good down to at least +171.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hitter Walks (+290)
