The Washington Nationals (49-72) host the Philadelphia Phillies (69-52) on August 15, 2025. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
Find my MLB betting preview and Phillies vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Our Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
- Phillies vs Nationals pick: Under 8 (-110)
Our Phillies vs Nationals best bet is on the under 8 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Nationals Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +100 | 8 -105o / -115u | -175 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 8 -105o / -115u | +145 |
Phillies vs Nationals Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Zack Wheeler (PHI) | Stat | LHP MacKenzie Gore (WSN) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | W-L | 5-12 |
| 4.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.7 |
| 2.68/2.44 | ERA /xERA | 4.09/3.89 |
| 2.92/2.66 | FIP / xFIP | 3.55/3.49 |
| 0.93 | WHIP | 1.33 |
| 28.0% | K-BB% | 19.9% |
| 39.9% | GB% | 35.5% |
| 110 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 107 | Location+ | 99 |
Phillies vs Nationals Preview, Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies (-175 in the moneyline) look to even their series against the Washington Nationals (+145) tonight after dropping Thursday’s opener 3-2. In Game 1, Jose Tena’s seventh-inning, two-run single and Paul DeJong’s homer powered Washington to the upset win.
Zack Wheeler takes the mound for Philadelphia, entering with a 2.13 ERA and 15 strikeouts across two starts against the Nationals this season. Washington counters with MacKenzie Gore, who will face Wheeler for the third time this year as Players’ Weekend gets underway.
Today’s total is set at 8 runs, and it fits perfectly with Evan Abrams’ “Steam Unders with Low OU Support” system. This strategy targets regular-season games in the 8–10 run range where sharp money has pushed the total down from the opener, but public betting still leans toward the over.
The key: limited public backing for the under despite clear market movement in its favor. Historical results from 2019–2025 show this setup produces a strong long-term ROI, especially when both teams have been playing games close to the posted totals rather than in extended high-scoring or low-scoring streaks.
Pick: Under 8 (-110, Fanatics)
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Trends
