The Cincinnati Reds host the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 2, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CINR.
The Pirates are +138 on the moneyline. The Reds are -148 on the moneyline. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
Pirates vs Reds Picks:
- Reds F5 ML
- Chase Burns To Record Win
- Chase Burns Over Strikeouts
Pirates vs Reds Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -178 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | +138 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -148 |
Pirates vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| Mitch Keller (RHP, PIT) | Stat | Chase Burns (RHP, CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | W-L | 12-1 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.0 |
| 4.83 / 5.10 | ERA / xERA | 2.40 / 3.18 |
| 4.27 / 4.51 | FIP / xFIP | 3.42 / 3.62 |
| 10.1% | K-BB% | 19.1% |
| 37.8% | GB% | 35.7% |
| .287 | BABIP | .264 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 113 |
| 103 | Location+ | 102 |
Pirates vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
Chase Burns will take the mound for the Reds, while the Pirates will start veteran righty Mitch Keller.
In 20 appearances, Burns has been outstanding, posting a 12-1 overall record on the season with a 2.40 ERA across nearly 113 frames – ranking inside the top-5 amongst starting pitchers on both accounts.
Burns has also been efficient, posting a 1.12 WHIP on the season, which ranks inside the top-20 amongst starters.
While Burns has been a model of consistency on the mound throughout his second season, his Sunday counterpart has not had quite the same luck.
Keller enters Sunday’s divisional clash in some very subpar form, with a 4.83 ERA, as well as a 1.31 WHIP on the season thus far.
This should not be quite as surprising with Keller’s career 4.55 ERA across his eight-year career.
Pirates vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
I expect Burns’ stellar punch-out prowess (T20 in MLB with 128 Ks) to be on full display on Sunday afternoon versus a Pirates’ lineup that leads all of baseball in strikeouts.
Picks:
- Reds F5 ML
- Chase Burns To Record Win
- Chase Burns Over Strikeouts
