The Milwaukee Brewers (74-44) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-69) on August 12, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
The Brewers are a -120 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while the Pirates are +100 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 7 total runs.
Find our MLB betting preview and Pirates vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
Our Pirates vs Brewers Prediction
Pirates vs Brewers pick: Pirates ML (+100)
Our Pirates vs Brewers best bet is on the Pirates Moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Brewers Odds, Spread
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 7 -105o / -115u | +100 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 7 -105o / -115u | -120 |
Pirates vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Paul Skenes (PIT) | Stat | RHP Freddy Peralta (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-8 | W-L | 13-5 |
| 4.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.3 |
| 1.94/2.49 | ERA /xERA | 3.03/3.64 |
| 2.32/3.02 | FIP / xFIP | 3.85/4.05 |
| 0.93 | WHIP | 1.14 |
| 22.8% | K-BB% | 16.9% |
| 45.0% | GB% | 37.7% |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 112 | Location+ | 102 |
Pirates vs Brewers Preview, Picks
This is Game 2 of the series after Milwaukee rolled to a 7-1 win in the opener. That victory extended the MLB-best Brewers’ winning streak to 10 games, improving them to 25-4 in their last 29.
Paul Skenes gets the ball for Pittsburgh. The right-handed allowed a career-high seven hits in his last start but still owns dominant stuff and the ability to neutralize even the league’s hottest offenses. He’ll square off against Freddy Peralta, who was pushed back a day to rest and align for a Cubs series next week.
This spot aligns with Evan Abrams’ Low Support Division Dog system. Pittsburgh is a divisional underdog drawing less than 30% of public bets but showing signs of sharp interest.
There has been little to no negative line movement despite the lopsided ticket count, suggesting that respected money is keeping the number steady.
Division familiarity helps level the playing field, and the modestly above-average bet count hints at targeted action rather than public overreaction.
Pick: Pirates ML (+100, Fanatics)
