The Cleveland Guardians host the Texas Rangers on September 26, 2025. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rangers vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Rangers vs Guardians Prediction
- Rangers vs Guardians picks: Under 7.5
My Rangers vs Guardians best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Guardians Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +134 | 7.5 -101o / -119u | +132 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -169 | 7.5 -101o / -119u | -157 |
Rangers vs Guardians Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jack Leiter (TEX) | Stat | RHP Slade Cecconi (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | W-L | 7-6 |
| 2.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 3.92 / 4.64 | ERA /xERA | 4.15 / 5.25 |
| 4.23 / 4.64 | FIP / xFIP | 4.62 / 4.07 |
| 1.31 | WHIP | 1.18 |
| 11.6% | K-BB% | 14.2% |
| 38.0% | GB% | 41.3% |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 91 | Location+ | 104 |
Rangers vs Guardians Prediction, Pick
BetLabs has zeroed in on the evening games, especially the Rangers vs. Guardians. Recent home team scoring league-wide has run slightly hot, and subtle environmental signals align with lower-scoring outcomes.
The market hitting the over its below 50%, suggesting minimal public pressure on inflated totals.
The Guardians have hit the over in just 20 to 67 of its last 5 games, and their previous outing against Detroit went for six runs.
Meanwhile, the wind direction—whether blowing in, across the field, or neutral—paired with moderate temperatures between 26 and 74, introduces natural resistance to run scoring.
Cleveland is competitively priced on the moneyline and has a wide win rate window, providing no clear power imbalance that might inflate totals.
When layered together, these filters isolate a soft edge in a game environment where bettors overlook the under due to recency bias and lack of extreme public conviction.
Pick: Under 7.5
Moneyline
No play here.
Run Line (Spread)
Pass on the spread.
Over/Under
The weather seems to significantly affect the total here, so we're going with the under.
Rangers vs Guardians Betting Trends
