The Philadelphia Phillies host the Texas Rangers on March 28, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on RSN.
The Rangers are favored by -111 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are -107 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rangers vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rangers vs Phillies Prediction
- Rangers vs Phillies Pick: Under 7.5
My Rangers vs Phillies best bet is on game totals. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Phillies Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +154 | 7 -120o / 100u | -108 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -188 | 7 -120o / 100u | -112 |
- Rangers vs Phillies spread: Rangers -1.5 (+154), Phillies +1.5 (-188)
- Rangers vs Phillies over/under: 7.5 (-120o / +100u)
- Rangers vs Phillies moneyline: Rangers -108, Phillies -112
Rangers vs Phillies Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jacob deGrom (TEX) | 2025 Stats | RHP Aaron Nola (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | W-L | 5-10 |
| 3.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 2.97 / 3.36 | ERA /xERA | 6.01 / 4.12 |
| 3.64 / 3.37 | FIP / xFIP | 4.58 /3.71 |
| 0.92 | WHIP | 1.35 |
| 22.1% | K-BB% | 17.1% |
| 37.8% | GB% | 42.5% |
| 109 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 108 | Location+ | 108 |
Rangers vs Phillies Preview
The Phillies are 1-0 and will look to build on their opening win against Texas. Playing once again at home, they’ll try to keep that momentum going and take control of the series early.
Aaron Nola gets the start for Philadelphia in his season debut. Interestingly, the Rangers are one of the few teams he has yet to record a win against, adding a bit of extra intrigue to this pitching matchup.
On the other side, Jacob deGrom will take the mound for the Rangers, but his recent numbers against the Phillies haven’t been great. Since leaving the Mets, he holds a 6.97 ERA in two starts against Philadelphia — a big jump from the 2.18 ERA he posted against them during his time in New York.
Rangers vs Phillies Picks
In the early months of the MLB season, cold weather creates ideal conditions for unders.
Pitchers tend to be ahead of hitters at the start of the season, and colder air can suppress offensive production by reducing ball carry.
This system further isolates day games when shadows and cool starts give pitchers an additional edge — especially as hitters may take longer to get loose.
Taken together, these filters identify a recurring edge that has yielded a positive long-term ROI when consistently betting the under.
Pick: Under 7.5
