The Cleveland Guardians (64-65) and Tampa Bay Rays (63-67) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
Cleveland is a -145 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is +120 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 8 total runs.
Continue below for my Rays vs Guardians predictions and MLB picks for Monday, August 25, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Rays vs Guardians Prediction
- Rays vs Guardians pick: Under 8 Runs (-115)
My Guardians vs. Rays best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Guardians Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8 -105o / -115u | +120 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8 -105o / -115u | -145 |
Rays vs Guardians Preview, Picks
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting, which appears to be the situation in tonight's matchup between the Rays and Guardians.
It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest — between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Rays vs Guardians Best Bet
- Under 8 (-115)
